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PoliticsEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: EU Council, French Labor Reform

The EU Council delivers a firm message on Brexit, and opposition to Macron's labor law reforms founders.

iondfs

Fin de Chemin for French Labor Reform OpponentsAs Emmanuel Macron's effort to reform France's labor law creeps back to the top of the Scoreboard, it seems increasingly likely that ...

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PoliticsAsia

With Abe's Big Win, Constitutional Reform In Sight

Digital interest in reforming Japan's pacifist constitution steadily climbed leading into Sunday's snap election.

ioj

With votes still being counted in Japan's snap election, exit polls indicate Shinzo Abe's Liberal Democratic party was on track to secure a commanding two-thirds majority in parlia...

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MarketsPoliticsEurope

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Sweden

Our signals suggest concerns over a slowing housing market could trigger big moves in the krona and Swedish 10-yr yields.

heatmap-sweden

Our Riksbank signals suggest big moves in the krona and Swedish 10-yr yields may occur in the next 30 days....

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Security

Global Macro Scoreboard: Breaking Brexit

With the future of Brexit and EU Reform at inflection points, expectations are high for this week's European Council summit.

gms-10-15-17

At this week's European Council summit, EU leaders were supposed to give the Commission the green light to proceed to the next phase of Brexit negotiations. Instead, after the fift...

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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaLatin America

Weekly Asset Heatmap: North America

As NAFTA talks resume this week, our predictive signals indicate big moves may be forthcoming in North American currencies -- particularly, a rising risk the peso could soon depreciate. Coupled with still-elevated concern over protectionism in Canada and Mexico, the signals suggest observers are bearish on the prospects for renegotiation.

adceacd

A rise in our Federal Reserve, Banxico, and BoC signals suggest big moves in North American currencies within the next month....

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PoliticsSecurityAsiaEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: Will Brexit Force a May-xit?

After a rocky Tory party congress, the Brexit hardliners continue to dominate the online conversation and flummox Theresa May.

cadecads

This week's Conservative Party conference laid bare the Brexit-related fault lines ripping apart the Tories. Prime Minister Theresa May and Chancellor Philip Hammond built on overt...

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MarketsPoliticsEurope

After Week of Turmoil, Can Catalonia Land on Its Feet?

Online conversation activity suggests the crisis may be abating.

dafs

CATALONIA | Images coming out of Catalonia since last Sunday's independence referendum have shocked the world: Spanish police beating Catalans and seizing ballot boxes; tens of tho...

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MarketsMiddle EastAsiaU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Oil

Many commentators believe oil will remain at $50-$60 into 2018. Yet, variables abound. Our signals suggest a big move in the price of WTI and Brent this month.

uhi

A rise in our WTI and Brent signals suggest a big move in oil markets within the next month....

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MarketsSecurityAsiaU.S. and Canada

Global Macro Scoreboard: Prelude to (Trade) War?

Tension over U.S.-China trade relations is growing, as two Trump cabinet secretaries visited Beijing last week.

dfacd

This week's Scoreboard reflected increased market attention to issues related to the U.S.-China trade relationship, with both Protectionism and U.S.-China Trade War registering maj...

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SecurityMiddle EastU.S. and Canada

Will Trump Ditch the Iran Nuclear Deal?

Supporters of the JCPOA are gaining digital momentum.

cafee

After calling the nuclear deal an “embarrassment” in his speech to the UN General Assembly last month, the president said he would announce in October whether the United States wou...

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