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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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Security

Kashmir Explodes

A deadly suicide bombing in the world's most militarized region may trigger a perilous rise in tensions between nuclear-armed rivals.

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Last Thursday, in the contested Indian state of Kashmir, a Pakistani suicide bomber with the Jaish-e-Mohammed militant group rammed an explosives-rigged car into a convoy of Indian...

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SecurityAsia

Nukes on the Table

As second summit approaches, denuclearization is in the spotlight.

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At the end of last week, US officials were in Pyongyang and Seoul for discussions in the lead-up to a second summit between President Trump and Chairman Kim Jong-un planned for Feb...

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PoliticsMarketsU.S. and CanadaAsia

New Year, Same Complaint

Chinese intellectual property theft and forced technology transfer are salient issues as the trade agreement deadline looms.

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Today, China begins a weeklong holiday to mark the beginning of the Year of the Pig. But trade negotiators will find little time to rest, as less than a month remains until a March...

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SecurityMiddle East

Are Israel and Iran Slouching Toward War?

Online activity points to rising concern about a parallel conflict in Syria with regional implications.

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Last week, the Israeli military continued its campaign against Iranian forces in Syria, as it reportedly conducted strikes against Iranian targets in Damascus. Some analysts warn t...

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Asia

China's Debt Problem

Repercussions of a decade of unbridled lending

china debt load header

Digital interest in Chinese debt levels has spiked to its highest level in 3 months, just as China vice president Wang Qishan downplayed concerns over a Chinese economic slump in a...

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SecurityLatin America

Maduro the Immovable

Venezuela's dictator has endured -- but the popular pressure is again rising.

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On January 10, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was inaugurated for another five-year term. The election he won last fall was boycotted by the opposition, the result rejected by...

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PoliticsEurope

Parliament's Vote

As MPs vote on Theresa May's Brexit deal, the stakes are high and expectations of passage low.

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Today, Members of Parliament vote on whether to approve the Brexit deal Prime Minister Theresa May negotiated with the European Union. She appears set to lose the vote. It is uncle...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

PoliticsEurope

Brexit Outlook

Predata's outlook for Brexit for 2019

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Predata’s Brexit signals monitor the salience of specific issues and the resonance of the messages of different factions in the Brexit negotiations. Here are some takeaways from 20...

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MarketsLatin America

Brazil Soybeans & China Trade

A lower than expected soybean yield in Brazil may not provide a boost to local prices

Soybeans

Bumper soybean crops in Brazil have been a boon for China for much of 2018, as last year’s record yields helped Xi Jinping maintain a tough stance in the trade war with the US whil...

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