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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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SecurityAfricaMiddle East

Arab Spring 2.0?

Historic upheaval in Algeria and Sudan is unlikely to trigger a movement.

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Last week, protesters in Sudan forced the ouster of President Omar al-Bashir, one of the world’s longest-reigning dictators. Weeks before that, sustained unrest in Algeria prompted...

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PoliticsMiddle East

Israel Votes

Trends in the digital realm may bode well for Netanyahu's challenger.

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On Tuesday, Israelis head to the polls in what has been a surprisingly close and contentious general election. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is fighting for his political life....

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MarketsAsia

In China, Corporate Debt Jitters

Patterns of digital interest surrounding HNA Group may reflect growing concern.

dacdace

Global equities markets leapt yesterday after the release of data showing Chinese manufacturing had grown unexpectedly, easing fears of a global economic slowdown. At the same time...

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PoliticsSecurityU.S. and CanadaAsia

Market Intelligence In Depth: US and China up Geopolitical Pressure, Inch Towards Deal

Talks progress despite geopolitical posturing in Europe and the Pacific

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This is a highlight from one of the daily global markets briefings Predata sends to financial markets clients each morning. To learn more about becoming a Predata client, click her...

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MarketsU.S. and CanadaEuropeAsia

The Yield Curve Inverted

But that might not be reason to panic.

scsw

There has been reason for pessimism in markets recently. Last week, the Fed issued unexpectedly dovish rates guidance, saying it would likely not hike interest rates this year. Wea...

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SecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeAsia

The Limits of Hatred

The White nationalist gunman who killed 50 in Christchurch triggered worldwide interest in far-right movements and their ideological underpinnings -- but not significantly.

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The attack on two New Zealand mosques by a White supremacist gunman that left 50 dead sparked an uptick in online interest in far-right movements worldwide. The shooter, a 28-year-...

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PoliticsEurope

Is Britain Sleepwalking Off the Brexit Cliff?

As a pivotal week begins, the public appears to be tuning out.

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As the UK heads into a climactic week for Brexit -- in which a Parliamentary vote on Prime Minister Theresa May’s revamped deal may determine the survival of her government -- why ...

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PoliticsSecurityMiddle East

In Iran, a Tactical Resignation

The foreign minister's move appears to have strengthened President Rouhani and his allies versus the hardliners.

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Last week, long-serving Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif suddenly announced his resignation via Instagram. A chief proponent of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action ...

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PoliticsEurope

This Week In Brexit

In Two Charts

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With the UK set to leave the European Union March 29, the stakes for Brexit are rising. Labour has officially come out in favor of a second referendum, and Theresa May faces the ‘h...

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Security

Kashmir Explodes

A deadly suicide bombing in the world's most militarized region may trigger a perilous rise in tensions between nuclear-armed rivals.

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Last Thursday, in the contested Indian state of Kashmir, a Pakistani suicide bomber with the Jaish-e-Mohammed militant group rammed an explosives-rigged car into a convoy of Indian...

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