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MarketsPoliticsEurope

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Sweden

Our signals suggest concerns over a slowing housing market could trigger big moves in the krona and Swedish 10-yr yields.

heatmap-sweden

Our Riksbank signals suggest big moves in the krona and Swedish 10-yr yields may occur in the next 30 days....

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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaLatin America

Weekly Asset Heatmap: North America

As NAFTA talks resume this week, our predictive signals indicate big moves may be forthcoming in North American currencies -- particularly, a rising risk the peso could soon depreciate. Coupled with still-elevated concern over protectionism in Canada and Mexico, the signals suggest observers are bearish on the prospects for renegotiation.

adceacd

A rise in our Federal Reserve, Banxico, and BoC signals suggest big moves in North American currencies within the next month....

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MarketsPoliticsEurope

After Week of Turmoil, Can Catalonia Land on Its Feet?

Online conversation activity suggests the crisis may be abating.

dafs

CATALONIA | Images coming out of Catalonia since last Sunday's independence referendum have shocked the world: Spanish police beating Catalans and seizing ballot boxes; tens of tho...

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MarketsMiddle EastAsiaU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Oil

Many commentators believe oil will remain at $50-$60 into 2018. Yet, variables abound. Our signals suggest a big move in the price of WTI and Brent this month.

uhi

A rise in our WTI and Brent signals suggest a big move in oil markets within the next month....

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MarketsSecurityAsiaU.S. and Canada

Global Macro Scoreboard: Prelude to (Trade) War?

Tension over U.S.-China trade relations is growing, as two Trump cabinet secretaries visited Beijing last week.

dfacd

This week's Scoreboard reflected increased market attention to issues related to the U.S.-China trade relationship, with both Protectionism and U.S.-China Trade War registering maj...

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Markets

How to Find Market Alpha in Geopolitical Risk

Geopolitics have now eclipsed other risk factors

Geopolitics have now eclipsed other risk factors.

From Brexit to Turkish coups to North Korean missile tests, Geopolitics appears to be having a greater impact on how investors are behaving today. In AllianzGI’s RiskMonitor 2017 s...

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MarketsAsia

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Japan

Big moves may be on the horizon for JPY and 10-yr yields

map

A rise in our BOJ signals indicates big moves in the yen and yields may be forthcoming....

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MarketsPoliticsEurope

Catalan Independence Showdown Bodes Ill for Spanish Markets

Equities and fixed income show historical sensitivity to independence movement volatility.

backtest

Global market attention to Catalonia's independence referendum, scheduled for 1 October, has picked up as the Spanish government ramps up its efforts to thwart the vote. Since Janu...

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MarketsSecurityEurope

Expect Up and Down Week for French Equities as "Autumn of Non-Subjugation" Kicks Off

Mounting anti-labor law reform demonstrations set to trigger CAC 40 volatility.

labor law

As we expected, Saturday's demonstration in Paris against Emmanuel Macron's labor reform efforts, lead by Jean-Luc Mélenchon's La France Insoumise (The Non-subjugated France) was l...

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MarketsU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Canada

The loonie and Canadian 10-yr yields may experience big moves in the coming weeks.

xaed

Underlying digital conversations that have preceded past moves in the Canadian dollar and 10-yr yields suggest big moves are in store within the next 1-2 weeks....

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Insights on political affairs and their impact on global markets