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MarketsPoliticsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Venezuela, North Korea, Italy

1-14-18-scoreboard

With online audiences returning from the winter holidays last week, interest in several global macro issues increased, notably the Venezuelan Crisis, North Korea, Italian Financial Risk, Oil Markets, and NAFTA.

1. Online attention to crisis-stricken Venezuela rose this week, as government and opposition leaders met in the Dominican Republic. The talks failed to produce an agreement, but n...

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MarketsPoliticsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Venezuela, North Korea, Italy

With online audiences returning from the winter holidays last week, interest in several global macro issues increased, notably the Venezuelan Crisis, North Korea, Italian Financial Risk, Oil Markets, and NAFTA.

1-14-18-scoreboard

1. Online attention to crisis-stricken Venezuela rose this week, as government and opposition leaders met in the Dominican Republic. The talks failed to produce an agreement, but n...

Read more

MarketsSecurityEuropeMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: North Korea, ECB, & Iran Nuclear Deal

The continued North Korean Crisis and European Central Bank topics dominated conversation over the past week, while the Iran Nuclear Deal is generating more attention.

wk-ahead-1-7-18

Though President Trump's tweet about nuclear button size turned the world's attention toward the North Korea Crisis last week, our signals revealed the possibility of increased Sou...

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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaLatin America

Global Macro Scoreboard: U.S. Fed, Taxes, & Healthcare

The U.S. Federal Reserve, Tax Reform, and Healthcare topics dominated conversation over the past week, while Bitcoin and Brazilian Politics continue to generate attention.

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MarketsPoliticsMiddle East

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Lebanon, Bahrain

With Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ramping up the regional power struggle with Iran, the Lebanese economy is walking a tightrope. And recent anomalies in Predata signals suggest traders are keeping a close eye on the possibility of a currency devaluation in Bahrain.

fwdguid-11-28-17

Lebanon is a developing economy. And yet for each of the last four years, its GDP has grown by less than 2%. Though desperate to alleviate one of the world's worst debt-to-GDP rati...

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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaEuropeAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Germany, China, France

Online attention to both German Elections and EU Reform rose, U.S.-China trade concerns resurfaced, Macron's online interest benefits as faith in other Western heads of state falters.

globalmacro-11-27-17

1. German Elections topped the Global Macro Scoreboard this week after coalition talks between Angela Merkel's CDU, the liberal FDP, and the Greens failed. Increased attention to E...

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MarketsPoliticsSecurityEurope

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Germany, Great Britain

Our analysis suggests Merkel is on shaky ground, and a big move may be coming in the pound.

11-21

The Free Democratic Party (FDP) walked out of coalition talks Sunday due to reported divisions over energy, tax policy, and asylum-seekers. Predata’s signals that capture online Ge...

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MarketsMiddle East

Getting Ahead of Commodity Price Moves

Social media information related to major geopolitical events can inform trading strategies for aluminum, platinum, oil and more.

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Geopolitical risk can have an outsize impact on commodities. Predata tracks millions of relevant social media data points to glean insights into potential market-mov...

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MarketsPoliticsSecurityU.S. and CanadaMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Iran-Saudi Rivalry, Bitcoin, Oil Markets

Global online audiences were drawn to the Iran-Saudi Rivalry, as the Kingdom targets Hezbollah; Bitcoin, which had a roller-coaster week; Oil Markets, affected by uncertainty in Saudi Arabia and Venezuela; the Qatar Blockade, as another Tehran-Riyadh flashpoint; and the North Korea Crisis, which has devolved to name-calling.

saudi

1.) The Iran-Saudi Rivalry accounted for the greatest share of increased online attention this week. After apparently coercing the resignation of Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Harir...

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MarketsPoliticsEurope

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Italy and Hogs

Italian elections cause outsized stir among online audiences, both in Italy and across Europe, while online concern over porcine diseases bring potential implications for the futures market.

prosciutto

Italy: Populist motifs drive Italy signals to yearly high in the days before the Sicilian voteDays before the November 5 vote in Sicily, our Italian volatility signals rose to thei...

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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Bitcoin

Spikes in online interest in bitcoin tend to precede price gains, and the President seems poised to nominate Jerome Powell as fed chair.

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The Bitcoin Boom: What Lies Beneath...

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