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Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: August 28, 2018

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Venezuela's historic currency devaluation resonated across the global internet this week.

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PoliticsMarketsAsia

Chinese Lending Anxiety Rises

Bad loan growth, pressure on deleveraging drives exceptional spike in attention to Chinese banks.

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This week, Predata's signal that reflects Chinese concern over financial risk hit its highest level in years. It is hard to say for certain what drove the signal spike, but two dev...

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PoliticsEurope

Are UK Corporates Bearish on Brexit?

Signals suggest UK-based businesses may be preparing for the worst.

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Let's say you are a UK-based business, and Brexit is coming. You have your ear to the ground. You closely track the negotiations, trying to predict whether the divorce will be hard...

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PoliticsSecurityLatin America

When Will Venezuela Crack?

A divided opposition did capture online attention, but predictive signals favor the status quo.

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Long before Sunday’s vote, Venezuela’s presidential election was a fait accompli. Nicholas Maduro, who has become more autocratic the deeper the country falls into crisis, banned m...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

Russia's Vote of Indifference

Russian internet users show uncharacteristic disinterest amid Sunday's presidential election.

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To the surprise of no one, Russian President Vladimir Putin was elected to a fourth six-year term on Sunday. Viable opposition leaders were barred from running. Voter turnout, whic...

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PoliticsMarkets

Global Macro Scoreboard: March 4, 2018

With Italy's anti-establishment parties surging in polls ahead of today's election, global internet users paid increased attention to the country's still recuperating financial system -- perhaps reflecting concern that a eurosceptic government could imperil EU-led bank bailouts.

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PoliticsEurope

Will the SPD Youth Overthrow the GroKo?

Signals suggest the German young socialists' push to block Angela Merkel's grand coalition is falling flat.

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In Germany, the SPD's 464,000 party members are voting by postal ballot on whether to approve a four-year “grand coalition” (nicknamed the "GroKo") with Angela Merkel's CDU. The re...

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PoliticsMarkets

Global Macro Scoreboard: February 25, 2018

Venezuela's release of a national cryptocurrency, Special Counsel Robert Mueller's indictment of meddling Russians, and rising acrimony between Iran and Saudi Arabia all grabbed a greater share of the internet's attention last week.

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PoliticsMarkets

Global Macro Scoreboard: February 18, 2018

Last week, the internet turned its attention toward Jacob Zuma's resignation, reports of rising U.S. healthcare costs, and the Iran-Saudi power struggle.

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

Navalny Who? The Russian Opposition Broadens

Russians are paying greater attention to economic and political grievances rather than specific opposition figures.

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Last week, principal Vladimir Putin critic Alexei Navalny led nationwide protests to call for a boycott of the March 18 presidential election. For Putin, the vote is a fait accompl...

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PoliticsLatin America

The Unlikely Persistence of Lula and Pension Reform

Despite a corruption sentence, Brazil's leading presidential candidate says he's not done yet. And will this be the month long-anticipated pension reform passes Congress?

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Investors breathed a sigh of relief two weeks ago when an appeals court upheld a corruption conviction against Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, technically barring the former president f...

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