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Markets

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: July 16, 2018

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The US Special Counsel's latest indictment and the Trump-Putin meeting drove global interest in Russian electoral interference this week.

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PoliticsEurope

Are UK Corporates Bearish on Brexit?

Signals suggest UK-based businesses may be preparing for the worst.

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Let's say you are a UK-based business, and Brexit is coming. You have your ear to the ground. You closely track the negotiations, trying to predict whether the divorce will be hard...

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PoliticsSecurityLatin America

When Will Venezuela Crack?

A divided opposition did capture online attention, but predictive signals favor the status quo.

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Long before Sunday’s vote, Venezuela’s presidential election was a fait accompli. Nicholas Maduro, who has become more autocratic the deeper the country falls into crisis, banned m...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

Russia's Vote of Indifference

Russian internet users show uncharacteristic disinterest amid Sunday's presidential election.

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To the surprise of no one, Russian President Vladimir Putin was elected to a fourth six-year term on Sunday. Viable opposition leaders were barred from running. Voter turnout, whic...

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PoliticsMarkets

Global Macro Scoreboard: March 4, 2018

With Italy's anti-establishment parties surging in polls ahead of today's election, global internet users paid increased attention to the country's still recuperating financial system -- perhaps reflecting concern that a eurosceptic government could imperil EU-led bank bailouts.

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PoliticsEurope

Will the SPD Youth Overthrow the GroKo?

Signals suggest the German young socialists' push to block Angela Merkel's grand coalition is falling flat.

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In Germany, the SPD's 464,000 party members are voting by postal ballot on whether to approve a four-year “grand coalition” (nicknamed the "GroKo") with Angela Merkel's CDU. The re...

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PoliticsMarkets

Global Macro Scoreboard: February 25, 2018

Venezuela's release of a national cryptocurrency, Special Counsel Robert Mueller's indictment of meddling Russians, and rising acrimony between Iran and Saudi Arabia all grabbed a greater share of the internet's attention last week.

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PoliticsMarkets

Global Macro Scoreboard: February 18, 2018

Last week, the internet turned its attention toward Jacob Zuma's resignation, reports of rising U.S. healthcare costs, and the Iran-Saudi power struggle.

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

Navalny Who? The Russian Opposition Broadens

Russians are paying greater attention to economic and political grievances rather than specific opposition figures.

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Last week, principal Vladimir Putin critic Alexei Navalny led nationwide protests to call for a boycott of the March 18 presidential election. For Putin, the vote is a fait accompl...

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PoliticsLatin America

The Unlikely Persistence of Lula and Pension Reform

Despite a corruption sentence, Brazil's leading presidential candidate says he's not done yet. And will this be the month long-anticipated pension reform passes Congress?

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Investors breathed a sigh of relief two weeks ago when an appeals court upheld a corruption conviction against Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, technically barring the former president f...

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PoliticsU.S. and CanadaAsia

Internet Bracing for Trade Investigation Results

Online audiences appear to be anticipating a development in the U.S. probe into alleged Chinese IP theft.

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Predata signals that measure online interest in trade protectionism rose after the Trump administration slapped an up to 30 percent tariff on solar panels and up to a 50 percent on...

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