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The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsEurope

In the Brexit Era, a "Normal" UK Election?

Focus is on socioeconomic issues ahead of December 12 vote.

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On Thursday, UK voters will head to the polls to vote in a general election pitting Prime Minister Boris Johnson against Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn. Ever since June 2016 when voters de...

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PoliticsSecurityMiddle East

Iran Simmers

After the deadliest unrest in 40 years, internet activity suggests political and economic grievances persist.

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Two weeks ago, a sudden increase in gasoline prices set off a wave of anti-government unrest across Iran. The regime responded with a deadly crackdown. It shut off the country’s in...

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PoliticsSecurityAsia

In Hong Kong, A Vote for Democracy

District elections marked a significant victory for the protesters, and there is little sign Beijing will respond with a heavy hand.

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Over the weekend, voters in Hong Kong turned out in record numbers to deliver landslide victories to pro-democracy candidates in district council elections. The results were a powe...

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PoliticsEurope

Merkel's EU Banking End Game

As a leadership transition looms in Germany, Madam Chancellor may go all-in on EU banking reform.

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After 14 years leading Germany, Angela Merkel will not seek another term as chancellor. Before she hands over the reins in 2021, it appears she might use some of her remaining poli...

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PoliticsEurope

How Parliament Might Tweak Brexit

A customs union amendment could gain momentum, and failure might be an option

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On Saturday, MPs voted to not immediately approve a new Brexit deal struck by Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the European Union until parliament had fully scrutinized the deal an...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

Banks and Economic Grievance in Russia

Web activity points to potential financial sector risk and a resurgent opposition movement.

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This summer, protests broke out in Moscow after several candidates for city council elections were barred from running. After several weeks of demonstrations and a government crack...

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PoliticsU.S. and Canada

Impeachment Is Not the Only Issue

Voters are thinking about health care and the economy.

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Last week, U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced a formal impeachment inquiry after a whistleblower complaint alleging presidential abuse of power came to light. The complaint ...

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PoliticsSecurityMiddle East

The World Is Watching

As global leaders gather for the UN General Assembly, the Middle East, North Korea, and climate change are dominating the internet.

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This week in New York City, world leaders have gathered for the UN General Assembly. It is a tense time for the planet. An attack on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil facility has stoked ...

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PoliticsLatin America

Brazil is Burning

Amid international opprobrium and economic uncertainty, an anti-corruption probe is under fire.

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Brazil’s government has come under harsh international scrutiny in the past few weeks for failing to prevent or manage severe fires in the Amazon. The economy is also under pressur...

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PoliticsEurope

Brexit and the English Constitution

Political chaos is driving a spike in online interest in the foundations of British democracy.

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Amid election uncertainty, constitutional chaos reigns in the United Kingdom. Yesterday, Prime Minister Boris Johnson threatened to call an election for October 14 should MPs attem...

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