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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsEurope

Parliament's Vote

As MPs vote on Theresa May's Brexit deal, the stakes are high and expectations of passage low.

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Today, Members of Parliament vote on whether to approve the Brexit deal Prime Minister Theresa May negotiated with the European Union. She appears set to lose the vote. It is uncle...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

PoliticsEurope

Brexit Outlook

Predata's outlook for Brexit for 2019

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Predata’s Brexit signals monitor the salience of specific issues and the resonance of the messages of different factions in the Brexit negotiations. Here are some takeaways from 20...

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PoliticsLatin America

Car Wash Roars Back

Will Jair Bolsonaro's government take corruption seriously?

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Like every candidate for higher office in Brazil, president-elect Jair Bolsonaro ran on a pledge to crack down on corruption, which voters tell pollsters is the country’s biggest p...

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PoliticsU.S. and CanadaAsia

An Empty Truce

Chinese-language web browsing patterns suggest the Trump-Xi trade war detente will be short-lived.

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Markets breathed a sigh of relief when Donald Trump and Xi Jinping met on the sidelines of the G20 in Buenos Aires and agreed to stop escalating the trade war. But Predata signals ...

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PoliticsEurope

May's Brexit Blindspot

Forget Hard Brexit vs. Soft Brexit. Online, supporters of the People's Vote are winning the day.

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Trends in the digital debate surrounding Brexit suggest Prime Minister Theresa May might be overlooking what could emerge as the biggest threat to her Brexit deal – and ultimately ...

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Politics

2018 U.S. Midterms Outlook: Immigration in the Spotlight

The migrant caravan and Pittsburgh shooting drove digital interest in immigration and gun control issues to climb, at the expense of healthcare and economic issues. Plus, foreign policy lingers in the national attention; the Supreme Court does not.

Immigration/Gun Control

Heading into October, candidates from both parties were set to wage the battle for both houses of Congress along familiar policy lines. Between September 1st and October 25th, onli...

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PoliticsU.S. and Canada

A Climate of Hate

Amid acts of violence, signals show convergence of digital interest in certain far-right issues.

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In the past week, expressions of violence from the far-right have sown fear and death in the United States. Predata’s signals monitor which subjects related to the far-right and al...

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Politics

2018 U.S. Midterms Outlook

Trade and foreign policy signals rise on announcement of new USMCA deal

USMCA-deal

The announcement of the new trilateral trade deal between the US, Canada, and Mexico sent Predata's NAFTA signal soaring. Some voters may see USMCA as yet another front of the brew...

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PoliticsMarketsAsia

Chinese Lending Anxiety Rises

Bad loan growth, pressure on deleveraging drives exceptional spike in attention to Chinese banks.

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This week, Predata's signal that reflects Chinese concern over financial risk hit its highest level in years. It is hard to say for certain what drove the signal spike, but two dev...

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