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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsLatin America

Brazil is Burning

Amid international opprobrium and economic uncertainty, an anti-corruption probe is under fire.

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Brazil’s government has come under harsh international scrutiny in the past few weeks for failing to prevent or manage severe fires in the Amazon. The economy is also under pressur...

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PoliticsEurope

Brexit and the English Constitution

Political chaos is driving a spike in online interest in the foundations of British democracy.

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Amid election uncertainty, constitutional chaos reigns in the United Kingdom. Yesterday, Prime Minister Boris Johnson threatened to call an election for October 14 should MPs attem...

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PoliticsMarketsU.S. and CanadaAsia

The Trade War Drives Downturn Fear

Online attention to past protectionism, capital flight havens points to growing concern.

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Last weekend was a roller coaster in the US-China trade war. On Friday, after Beijing announced retaliatory tariffs on US exports, President Trump issued a tweet storm announcing e...

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PoliticsEurope

Will Boris Johnson Really Deliver a Hard Brexit?

Markets are spooked, but a no-deal withdrawal might not be the likeliest option.

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Last week, Boris Johnson became UK prime minister. He appointed a cabinet full of hardline Brexiteers and asserted that Brexit would happen by October -- with a withdrawal deal or ...

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PoliticsMarketsLatin America

Brazil and Mexico Diverge

New presidents are steering Latin America's largest economies in different directions.

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Brazil and Mexico account for two-thirds of Latin America’s GDP. Over the past few years, recession and a crippling corruption probe battered Brazil’s economy. Mexico has maintaine...

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PoliticsLatin America

Guatemala Votes

With anti-corruption frontrunner disqualified, voters look for options.

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As rising numbers of Central American migrants arrive at the US border seeking asylum, the discussion in the United States has focused on Mexico. Relatively little attention has be...

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PoliticsAsia

The Trade War Enters a New Phase

Digital indicators suggest observers are bracing for a protracted, uncertain conflict.

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This month, the US-China trade war escalated. After talks broke down, Washington announced it would impose additional tariffs on Chinese goods and it effectively banned Huawei, the...

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PoliticsEurope

For Britain, It's the Economy Stupid

European Parliamentary elections and Brexit politics dominate headlines, but concerns about the UK economy are rising.

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This Thursday, the UK will vote in European elections, a poll that for British voters was never supposed to happen but for Brexit’s delay until October. The circumstances of the el...

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PoliticsMiddle East

Israel Votes

Trends in the digital realm may bode well for Netanyahu's challenger.

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On Tuesday, Israelis head to the polls in what has been a surprisingly close and contentious general election. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is fighting for his political life....

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PoliticsSecurityU.S. and CanadaAsia

Market Intelligence In Depth: US and China up Geopolitical Pressure, Inch Towards Deal

Talks progress despite geopolitical posturing in Europe and the Pacific

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This is a highlight from one of the daily global markets briefings Predata sends to financial markets clients each morning. To learn more about becoming a Predata client, click her...

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