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MarketsSecurityMiddle East

The Khashoggi Fallout

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Digital scrutiny of Saudi economy and reform agenda remains high after killing of dissident journalist.

For nearly three weeks, the killing of Saudi dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi has dominated the news cycle and produced a powerful and persistent international backlash. Predat...

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PoliticsEurope

May's Brexit Blindspot

Forget Hard Brexit vs. Soft Brexit. Online, supporters of the People's Vote are winning the day.

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Trends in the digital debate surrounding Brexit suggest Prime Minister Theresa May might be overlooking what could emerge as the biggest threat to her Brexit deal – and ultimately ...

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Politics

2018 U.S. Midterms Outlook: Immigration in the Spotlight

The migrant caravan and Pittsburgh shooting drove digital interest in immigration and gun control issues to climb, at the expense of healthcare and economic issues. Plus, foreign policy lingers in the national attention; the Supreme Court does not.

Immigration/Gun Control

Heading into October, candidates from both parties were set to wage the battle for both houses of Congress along familiar policy lines. Between September 1st and October 25th, onli...

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PoliticsU.S. and Canada

A Climate of Hate

Amid acts of violence, signals show convergence of digital interest in certain far-right issues.

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In the past week, expressions of violence from the far-right have sown fear and death in the United States. Predata’s signals monitor which subjects related to the far-right and al...

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Politics

2018 U.S. Midterms Outlook

Trade and foreign policy signals rise on announcement of new USMCA deal

USMCA-deal

The announcement of the new trilateral trade deal between the US, Canada, and Mexico sent Predata's NAFTA signal soaring. Some voters may see USMCA as yet another front of the brew...

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PoliticsMarketsAsia

Chinese Lending Anxiety Rises

Bad loan growth, pressure on deleveraging drives exceptional spike in attention to Chinese banks.

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This week, Predata's signal that reflects Chinese concern over financial risk hit its highest level in years. It is hard to say for certain what drove the signal spike, but two dev...

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PoliticsEurope

Are UK Corporates Bearish on Brexit?

Signals suggest UK-based businesses may be preparing for the worst.

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Let's say you are a UK-based business, and Brexit is coming. You have your ear to the ground. You closely track the negotiations, trying to predict whether the divorce will be hard...

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PoliticsSecurityLatin America

When Will Venezuela Crack?

A divided opposition did capture online attention, but predictive signals favor the status quo.

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Long before Sunday’s vote, Venezuela’s presidential election was a fait accompli. Nicholas Maduro, who has become more autocratic the deeper the country falls into crisis, banned m...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

Russia's Vote of Indifference

Russian internet users show uncharacteristic disinterest amid Sunday's presidential election.

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To the surprise of no one, Russian President Vladimir Putin was elected to a fourth six-year term on Sunday. Viable opposition leaders were barred from running. Voter turnout, whic...

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PoliticsMarkets

Global Macro Scoreboard: March 4, 2018

With Italy's anti-establishment parties surging in polls ahead of today's election, global internet users paid increased attention to the country's still recuperating financial system -- perhaps reflecting concern that a eurosceptic government could imperil EU-led bank bailouts.

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PoliticsEurope

Will the SPD Youth Overthrow the GroKo?

Signals suggest the German young socialists' push to block Angela Merkel's grand coalition is falling flat.

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In Germany, the SPD's 464,000 party members are voting by postal ballot on whether to approve a four-year “grand coalition” (nicknamed the "GroKo") with Angela Merkel's CDU. The re...

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