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Security

Global Macro Scoreboard: Breaking Brexit

With the future of Brexit and EU Reform at inflection points, expectations are high for this week's European Council summit.

gms-10-15-17

At this week's European Council summit, EU leaders were supposed to give the Commission the green light to proceed to the next phase of Brexit negotiations. Instead, after the fift...

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PoliticsSecurityAsiaEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: Will Brexit Force a May-xit?

After a rocky Tory party congress, the Brexit hardliners continue to dominate the online conversation and flummox Theresa May.

cadecads

This week's Conservative Party conference laid bare the Brexit-related fault lines ripping apart the Tories. Prime Minister Theresa May and Chancellor Philip Hammond built on overt...

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MarketsSecurityAsiaU.S. and Canada

Global Macro Scoreboard: Prelude to (Trade) War?

Tension over U.S.-China trade relations is growing, as two Trump cabinet secretaries visited Beijing last week.

dfacd

This week's Scoreboard reflected increased market attention to issues related to the U.S.-China trade relationship, with both Protectionism and U.S.-China Trade War registering maj...

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SecurityMiddle EastU.S. and Canada

Will Trump Ditch the Iran Nuclear Deal?

Supporters of the JCPOA are gaining digital momentum.

cafee

After calling the nuclear deal an “embarrassment” in his speech to the UN General Assembly last month, the president said he would announce in October whether the United States wou...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

The Catalan Crisis: The Vote Is Just the Beginning

Predata signals show unrest, violence set to continue.

uyug

CATALONIA | Undeterred by arrests, ballot seizures, and a court ruling that the vote would be illegal, Catalonia held an independence referendum today. The Spanish government crack...

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MarketsSecurityEurope

Expect Up and Down Week for French Equities as "Autumn of Non-Subjugation" Kicks Off

Mounting anti-labor law reform demonstrations set to trigger CAC 40 volatility.

labor law

As we expected, Saturday's demonstration in Paris against Emmanuel Macron's labor reform efforts, lead by Jean-Luc Mélenchon's La France Insoumise (The Non-subjugated France) was l...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

France's Non-subjuguated Autumn of Discontent to Begin Tomorrow

Expect tomorrow's anti-labor reform protests to rattle markets

df

A Predata signal trained to anticipate demonstrations and labor strikes in opposition to labor reform efforts in France has spiked sharply, suggesting tomorrow's scheduled protest,...

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SecurityEurope

Who's Afraid of Big, Bad Zapad?

As Russia gears up for the Zapad 2017 military exercise, some neighbors are showing greater concern than others.

zapad

Zapad 2017, a massive joint Russia-Belarus military exercise, begins Thursday. The exercise will take place in Belarus and Kaliningrad, near the borders of Poland and the Baltic st...

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SecurityMiddle East

After Hajj, Iran-Saudi Rivalry Back On

Despite a successful Hajj that some hoped could trigger a rapprochement, regional animosity appears to have resumed.

Iran-Saudi

Some have speculated the successful participation of Iranian pilgrims in this year’s Hajj could mark the start of a rapprochement between the two regional enemies. In early Septemb...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

Planned Demonstrations Against French Labor Reform Unlikely To Leave Mark

Upcoming protests against Macron's labor reform agenda probably won't cause major disruptions.

france civil

Back in June, France's powerful CGT union announced that on September 12 it would lead a strike and protest against the Macron government's labor law reform agenda. But with just t...

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