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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsU.S. and Canada

Impeachment Is Not the Only Issue

Voters are thinking about health care and the economy.

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Last week, U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced a formal impeachment inquiry after a whistleblower complaint alleging presidential abuse of power came to light. The complaint ...

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PoliticsSecurityMiddle East

The World Is Watching

As global leaders gather for the UN General Assembly, the Middle East, North Korea, and climate change are dominating the internet.

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This week in New York City, world leaders have gathered for the UN General Assembly. It is a tense time for the planet. An attack on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil facility has stoked ...

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SecurityMiddle East

Does This Mean War?

The drone attack on Saudi oil facilities stoked fears about oil production, but not immediately about military conflict.

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On Saturday, September 14, drones claimed by Houthi rebels from Yemen attacked major oil production facilities at Abqaiq in Saudi Arabia. The damage forced disruptions that halved ...

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PoliticsLatin America

Brazil is Burning

Amid international opprobrium and economic uncertainty, an anti-corruption probe is under fire.

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Brazil’s government has come under harsh international scrutiny in the past few weeks for failing to prevent or manage severe fires in the Amazon. The economy is also under pressur...

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PoliticsEurope

Brexit and the English Constitution

Political chaos is driving a spike in online interest in the foundations of British democracy.

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Amid election uncertainty, constitutional chaos reigns in the United Kingdom. Yesterday, Prime Minister Boris Johnson threatened to call an election for October 14 should MPs attem...

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PoliticsMarketsAsiaU.S. and Canada

The Trade War Drives Downturn Fear

Online attention to past protectionism, capital flight havens points to growing concern.

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Last weekend was a roller coaster in the US-China trade war. On Friday, after Beijing announced retaliatory tariffs on US exports, President Trump issued a tweet storm announcing e...

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SecurityAsia

A Crackdown in Hong Kong?

As protests continue, concerns about security and economic factors are driving online attention

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Over the weekend, anti-government protesters in Hong Kong again took to the streets, as a reported 1.7 million demonstrators marched through Victoria Park. Predata signals show tha...

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SecurityMiddle East

Afghanistan Without the US

A likely US withdrawal is resonating online -- but not in the ways Washington may want.

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After 18 years at war in Afghanistan, the United States may finally be nearing an exit. Late last week, international media reported that US and Taliban officials were close to rea...

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SecurityEurope

Will Putin's Crackdown Backfire?

The harsh response to protests in Moscow is fueling interest in the movement.

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Moscow is experiencing its largest wave of anti-government unrest in nearly a decade. Three weekends ago, demonstrators took to the streets after the electoral authority barred sev...

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PoliticsEurope

Will Boris Johnson Really Deliver a Hard Brexit?

Markets are spooked, but a no-deal withdrawal might not be the likeliest option.

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Last week, Boris Johnson became UK prime minister. He appointed a cabinet full of hardline Brexiteers and asserted that Brexit would happen by October -- with a withdrawal deal or ...

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