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MarketsSecurityMiddle East

The Khashoggi Fallout


Digital scrutiny of Saudi economy and reform agenda remains high after killing of dissident journalist.

For nearly three weeks, the killing of Saudi dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi has dominated the news cycle and produced a powerful and persistent international backlash. Predat...

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In Trade War, Chinese Signal No Retreat

Heightened interest in a beachside resort could signify public support for the Party in the face of the tit-for-tat with the US.


Every summer, usually sometime in August, top Chinese Communist Party leaders disappear from public view to gather in the seaside resort town of Beidaihe for a secret conclave. Las...

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MarketsLatin America

How Far Will Argentina's Tempest Blow?

A Predata index suggests it's not time to panic yet.


Foul winds have been whipping through emerging markets. After the Turkish lira plunged last month triggering falls in European markets, the collapse of the Argentine peso has unlea...

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Russia's Eastern Games

Largest military drills since the Cold War may provide the backdrop for international adventurism.


Russian military forces were put on high alert across the country, from the Baltic to the Pacific, and the first Chinese warplanes landed in the Urals last week ahead of Russia's l...

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Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: August 28, 2018

Venezuela's historic currency devaluation resonated across the global internet this week.


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SecurityLatin America

Caracas Starts To Crack

With revenue sources vanishing, the military may take matters into its own hands.


As Venezuela has plunged deeper into crisis, President Nicolas Maduro has managed to keep his grip on power in large part by placating key elements of Venezuela's military. General...

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Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: August 21, 2018

This week a proposed Russian-German pipeline and a failed Italian bridge drove global internet users toward European politics.


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SecurityMiddle East

The Gulf Widens

Ongoing protests in Iran and rising regional security tensions point to a fraught near-term situation in the Persian Gulf.


After protests over desperate economic conditions flared in Iran over the last two weeks, a Predata anticipatory signal suggests unrest is likely to continue. As the chart below sh...

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Security Risk Rises in Pakistan

After major attacks during the election campaign, the risk of a major incident is rising.


After his party swept into power for the first time in a general election on July 25, cricket star turned likely prime minister Imran Khan faces a daunting list of challenges. Paki...

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Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: August 7, 2018

For the second straight week global interest in the US national debt surged, perhaps due to a report that in order to pay for ballooning government deficits, US Treasury borrowing in the second half of 2018 would increase 63 percent on the previous year.


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Chinese Lending Anxiety Rises

Bad loan growth, pressure on deleveraging drives exceptional spike in attention to Chinese banks.


This week, Predata's signal that reflects Chinese concern over financial risk hit its highest level in years. It is hard to say for certain what drove the signal spike, but two dev...

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