Latest from Research

Showing: All
PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

Asia

China's Debt Problem

Repercussions of a decade of unbridled lending

china debt load header

Digital interest in Chinese debt levels has spiked to its highest level in 3 months, just as China vice president Wang Qishan downplayed concerns over a Chinese economic slump in a...

Read more

SecurityLatin America

Maduro the Immovable

Venezuela's dictator has endured -- but the popular pressure is again rising.

dafeaeafcda

On January 10, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was inaugurated for another five-year term. The election he won last fall was boycotted by the opposition, the result rejected by...

Read more

PoliticsEurope

Parliament's Vote

As MPs vote on Theresa May's Brexit deal, the stakes are high and expectations of passage low.

dfadfada

Today, Members of Parliament vote on whether to approve the Brexit deal Prime Minister Theresa May negotiated with the European Union. She appears set to lose the vote. It is uncle...

Read more

PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

PoliticsEurope

Brexit Outlook

Predata's outlook for Brexit for 2019

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Predata’s Brexit signals monitor the salience of specific issues and the resonance of the messages of different factions in the Brexit negotiations. Here are some takeaways from 20...

Read more

MarketsLatin America

Brazil Soybeans & China Trade

A lower than expected soybean yield in Brazil may not provide a boost to local prices

Soybeans

Bumper soybean crops in Brazil have been a boon for China for much of 2018, as last year’s record yields helped Xi Jinping maintain a tough stance in the trade war with the US whil...

Read more

SecurityEurope

Christmas Terror Risk

After Strasbourg, threat of terror in Europe still looms over the holidays.

adfcace

On December 11, a French citizen on an Islamic extremist watchlist opened fire at a Christmas market in the town of Strasbourg, killing five and wounding 11. In the days before the...

Read more

SecurityAsia

Uncertain Status

Squabbling over the bill for the US forces in Korea is rankling the hosts.

fdadaaec

As the United States seeks to restart negotiations with North Korea, which shows no signs of dismantling its nuclear program, growing tension with South Korea over the cost of basi...

Read more

PoliticsLatin America

Car Wash Roars Back

Will Jair Bolsonaro's government take corruption seriously?

cadeadasfda

Like every candidate for higher office in Brazil, president-elect Jair Bolsonaro ran on a pledge to crack down on corruption, which voters tell pollsters is the country’s biggest p...

Read more

PoliticsU.S. and CanadaAsia

An Empty Truce

Chinese-language web browsing patterns suggest the Trump-Xi trade war detente will be short-lived.

fadfaca

Markets breathed a sigh of relief when Donald Trump and Xi Jinping met on the sidelines of the G20 in Buenos Aires and agreed to stop escalating the trade war. But Predata signals ...

Read more