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MarketsSecurityMiddle East

The Khashoggi Fallout

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Digital scrutiny of Saudi economy and reform agenda remains high after killing of dissident journalist.

For nearly three weeks, the killing of Saudi dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi has dominated the news cycle and produced a powerful and persistent international backlash. Predat...

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SecurityAfrica

South Sudan's Impossible Peace

A deal has been signed, but the risk of violence looms.

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Last month, South Sudanese President Salva Kiir concluded a peace deal with Riek Machar, his erstwhile vice president and leader of the SPLM-IO rebel group. The deal aims to end th...

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SecurityAfrica

Terrorism Risk in Somalia Rising

A signal that anticipated last October's deadly Mogadishu bombings is trending upward.

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A Predata signal trained to anticipate terrorist bombings in Somalia has leapt in recent days. The prediction value is currently at 45 percent, which means our algorithms estimate ...

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SecurityAfrica

Hot Signals: Democratic Republic of Congo

This week's geopolitical insight

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D.R.C. | On December 7, the UN peacekeeping mission in the Democratic Republic of Congo suffered an attack that Secretary-General António Guterres equated to a “war crime”. Rebel f...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeAfricaAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Will Trump's Fury Lead to War?

Market concern over the North Korea crisis skyrockets on president's bellicosity; Kenyan election, Chinese debt, and EU reform also draw interest.

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Sound and Fury, Signifying...Something?This week, President Trump's off-the-cuff threat to rain “fire and fury and frankly power” on North Korea -- which responded with it's own th...

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PoliticsMarketsAfrica

President Zuma on the Back Foot (Again), but Replacement Remains Uncertain

With online opposition growing, the race among likely successors remains tight

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Having survived the meeting of the ANC’s National Executive Committee (NEC) on May 26-28 where his removal was discussed, President Zuma probably hoped for a respite. The respite, ...

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PoliticsAfrica

South Africa: The More Things Change, The More They Stay the Same?

The race to succeed Jacob Zuma reached a critical new stage this weekend.

zuma 5/28/17

THE NEWS FLOW on President Zuma continues at a high pace. In the last two weeks, South Africans have tracked the following developments:The President’s May 14 endorsement of his f...

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