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Markets

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: July 16, 2018

efdsad

The US Special Counsel's latest indictment and the Trump-Putin meeting drove global interest in Russian electoral interference this week.

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SecurityAfrica

Terrorism Risk in Somalia Rising

A signal that anticipated last October's deadly Mogadishu bombings is trending upward.

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A Predata signal trained to anticipate terrorist bombings in Somalia has leapt in recent days. The prediction value is currently at 45 percent, which means our algorithms estimate ...

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SecurityAfrica

Hot Signals: Democratic Republic of Congo

This week's geopolitical insight

wehahead4

D.R.C. | On December 7, the UN peacekeeping mission in the Democratic Republic of Congo suffered an attack that Secretary-General António Guterres equated to a “war crime”. Rebel f...

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SecurityMarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaEuropeAfricaAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Will Trump's Fury Lead to War?

Market concern over the North Korea crisis skyrockets on president's bellicosity; Kenyan election, Chinese debt, and EU reform also draw interest.

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Sound and Fury, Signifying...Something?This week, President Trump's off-the-cuff threat to rain “fire and fury and frankly power” on North Korea -- which responded with it's own th...

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PoliticsMarketsAfrica

President Zuma on the Back Foot (Again), but Replacement Remains Uncertain

With online opposition growing, the race among likely successors remains tight

zuma_successors

Having survived the meeting of the ANC’s National Executive Committee (NEC) on May 26-28 where his removal was discussed, President Zuma probably hoped for a respite. The respite, ...

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PoliticsAfrica

South Africa: The More Things Change, The More They Stay the Same?

The race to succeed Jacob Zuma reached a critical new stage this weekend.

zuma 5/28/17

THE NEWS FLOW on President Zuma continues at a high pace. In the last two weeks, South Africans have tracked the following developments:The President’s May 14 endorsement of his f...

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