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Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: August 7, 2018

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For the second straight week global interest in the US national debt surged, perhaps due to a report that in order to pay for ballooning government deficits, US Treasury borrowing in the second half of 2018 would increase 63 percent on the previous year.

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SecurityAsia

Security Risk Rises in Pakistan

After major attacks during the election campaign, the risk of a major incident is rising.

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After his party swept into power for the first time in a general election on July 25, cricket star turned likely prime minister Imran Khan faces a daunting list of challenges. Paki...

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PoliticsMarketsAsia

Chinese Lending Anxiety Rises

Bad loan growth, pressure on deleveraging drives exceptional spike in attention to Chinese banks.

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This week, Predata's signal that reflects Chinese concern over financial risk hit its highest level in years. It is hard to say for certain what drove the signal spike, but two dev...

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SecurityAsia

The Gulf Heats Up

After provocative words from Rouhani and Trump, further escalations may come.

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In the early morning hours Monday, President Trump took to Twitter to warn Iran of “severe consequences” if it threatened the United States. The tweet — which seemed exceptionally ...

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SecurityAsia

Kim on Sure Footing at the Summit

Signals suggest a favorable context for the North Koreans in Singapore

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On the eve of the Trump-Kim Summit, Predata signals capturing patterns of web traffic reveal a North Korean regime secure in its place and an expert community skeptical that the hi...

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SecurityU.S. and CanadaAsia

China Trade War Fears Still Running High

As perceived risk of NAFTA withdrawal has subsided, Sino-American trade war continues to rattle online observers.

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Over the weekend, Trump Administration officials sought to play down the escalating tit-for-tat with China over trade. The latest salvo had come April 5, when the White House annou...

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SecurityAsia

Amid Trade Friction, Taiwan Tensions Are Rising

All eyes are on trade war, but the real flashpoint might be Taiwan.

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Last week, the Trump Administration threatened to impose tariffs on up to $60 billion worth of Chinese imports. The announcement, like a similar one earlier in March on steel and a...

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MarketsAsia

Signals Point To Big Downward Move in USDJPY

Though the Bank of Japan has affirmed it will maintain ultra-loose monetary policy, our FX signals suggest that a sudden appreciation in the yen against the dollar is on the horizon.

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Predata signals related to the Bank of Japan suggest that a big, unexpected gain in the yen against the dollar may be forthcoming, as market expectations about the future of BOJ qu...

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PoliticsU.S. and CanadaAsia

Internet Bracing for Trade Investigation Results

Online audiences appear to be anticipating a development in the U.S. probe into alleged Chinese IP theft.

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Predata signals that measure online interest in trade protectionism rose after the Trump administration slapped an up to 30 percent tariff on solar panels and up to a 50 percent on...

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PoliticsU.S. and CanadaLatin AmericaAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: January 28

This week, international online audiences turned their attention to trade issues, the U.S. federal budget and debt, and Brazil's political landscape after an appeals court upheld a corruption ruling against presidential frontrunner Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

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PoliticsAsia

The Malaysian Opposition Comes Together

A surprising political reconciliation could be a watershed moment, our digital volatility indicators show.

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Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak has proved a resilient leader. By cracking down on dissent and strengthening affirmative action for the Muslim Malay majority that constitutes ...

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