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MarketsSecurityMiddle East

The Khashoggi Fallout


Digital scrutiny of Saudi economy and reform agenda remains high after killing of dissident journalist.

For nearly three weeks, the killing of Saudi dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi has dominated the news cycle and produced a powerful and persistent international backlash. Predat...

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Uncertain Status

Squabbling over the bill for the US forces in Korea is rankling the hosts.


As the United States seeks to restart negotiations with North Korea, which shows no signs of dismantling its nuclear program, growing tension with South Korea over the cost of basi...

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PoliticsU.S. and CanadaAsia

An Empty Truce

Chinese-language web browsing patterns suggest the Trump-Xi trade war detente will be short-lived.


Markets breathed a sigh of relief when Donald Trump and Xi Jinping met on the sidelines of the G20 in Buenos Aires and agreed to stop escalating the trade war. But Predata signals ...

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Thailand Security Risk Rises

A signal that anticipates insurgent violence skyrockets.


A separatist war continues to simmer in Thailand’s three southernmost provinces -- Pattani, Yala, and Narathiwat. The Muslim Malay majority in the region has been demanding local a...

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In China, Signs of Financial Strain

Signals for corporate default risk, capital outflow point to credit-related stress.


Market observers have long been worrying about the risk of a Chinese credit crunch. Now, two of Predata’s early warning signals of financial stress inside the PRC are elevated -- t...

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Moon Goes North

Despite hype surrounding inter-Korean summit, signals indicate tepid expectations for a major breakthrough.


Hopes are high for the third meeting between South Korean President Moon Jae-in and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in Pyongyang this week. Some North Korea watchers took an offici...

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In Trade War, Chinese Signal No Retreat

Heightened interest in a beachside resort could signify public support for the Party in the face of the tit-for-tat with the US.


Every summer, usually sometime in August, top Chinese Communist Party leaders disappear from public view to gather in the seaside resort town of Beidaihe for a secret conclave. Las...

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Russia's Eastern Games

Largest military drills since the Cold War may provide the backdrop for international adventurism.


Russian military forces were put on high alert across the country, from the Baltic to the Pacific, and the first Chinese warplanes landed in the Urals last week ahead of Russia's l...

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Security Risk Rises in Pakistan

After major attacks during the election campaign, the risk of a major incident is rising.


After his party swept into power for the first time in a general election on July 25, cricket star turned likely prime minister Imran Khan faces a daunting list of challenges. Paki...

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Chinese Lending Anxiety Rises

Bad loan growth, pressure on deleveraging drives exceptional spike in attention to Chinese banks.


This week, Predata's signal that reflects Chinese concern over financial risk hit its highest level in years. It is hard to say for certain what drove the signal spike, but two dev...

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The Gulf Heats Up

After provocative words from Rouhani and Trump, further escalations may come.


In the early morning hours Monday, President Trump took to Twitter to warn Iran of “severe consequences” if it threatened the United States. The tweet — which seemed exceptionally ...

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