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Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: August 28, 2018


Venezuela's historic currency devaluation resonated across the global internet this week.

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In China, Signs of Financial Strain

Signals for corporate default risk, capital outflow point to credit-related stress.


Market observers have long been worrying about the risk of a Chinese credit crunch. Now, two of Predata’s early warning signals of financial stress inside the PRC are elevated -- t...

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Moon Goes North

Despite hype surrounding inter-Korean summit, signals indicate tepid expectations for a major breakthrough.


Hopes are high for the third meeting between South Korean President Moon Jae-in and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in Pyongyang this week. Some North Korea watchers took an offici...

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In Trade War, Chinese Signal No Retreat

Heightened interest in a beachside resort could signify public support for the Party in the face of the tit-for-tat with the US.


Every summer, usually sometime in August, top Chinese Communist Party leaders disappear from public view to gather in the seaside resort town of Beidaihe for a secret conclave. Las...

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Russia's Eastern Games

Largest military drills since the Cold War may provide the backdrop for international adventurism.


Russian military forces were put on high alert across the country, from the Baltic to the Pacific, and the first Chinese warplanes landed in the Urals last week ahead of Russia's l...

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Security Risk Rises in Pakistan

After major attacks during the election campaign, the risk of a major incident is rising.


After his party swept into power for the first time in a general election on July 25, cricket star turned likely prime minister Imran Khan faces a daunting list of challenges. Paki...

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Chinese Lending Anxiety Rises

Bad loan growth, pressure on deleveraging drives exceptional spike in attention to Chinese banks.


This week, Predata's signal that reflects Chinese concern over financial risk hit its highest level in years. It is hard to say for certain what drove the signal spike, but two dev...

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The Gulf Heats Up

After provocative words from Rouhani and Trump, further escalations may come.


In the early morning hours Monday, President Trump took to Twitter to warn Iran of “severe consequences” if it threatened the United States. The tweet — which seemed exceptionally ...

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Kim on Sure Footing at the Summit

Signals suggest a favorable context for the North Koreans in Singapore


On the eve of the Trump-Kim Summit, Predata signals capturing patterns of web traffic reveal a North Korean regime secure in its place and an expert community skeptical that the hi...

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SecurityU.S. and CanadaAsia

China Trade War Fears Still Running High

As perceived risk of NAFTA withdrawal has subsided, Sino-American trade war continues to rattle online observers.


Over the weekend, Trump Administration officials sought to play down the escalating tit-for-tat with China over trade. The latest salvo had come April 5, when the White House annou...

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Amid Trade Friction, Taiwan Tensions Are Rising

All eyes are on trade war, but the real flashpoint might be Taiwan.


Last week, the Trump Administration threatened to impose tariffs on up to $60 billion worth of Chinese imports. The announcement, like a similar one earlier in March on steel and a...

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