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The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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SecurityAsia

Nukes on the Table

As second summit approaches, denuclearization is in the spotlight.

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At the end of last week, US officials were in Pyongyang and Seoul for discussions in the lead-up to a second summit between President Trump and Chairman Kim Jong-un planned for Feb...

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PoliticsMarketsU.S. and CanadaAsia

New Year, Same Complaint

Chinese intellectual property theft and forced technology transfer are salient issues as the trade agreement deadline looms.

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Today, China begins a weeklong holiday to mark the beginning of the Year of the Pig. But trade negotiators will find little time to rest, as less than a month remains until a March...

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Asia

China's Debt Problem

Repercussions of a decade of unbridled lending

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Digital interest in Chinese debt levels has spiked to its highest level in 3 months, just as China vice president Wang Qishan downplayed concerns over a Chinese economic slump in a...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

SecurityAsia

Uncertain Status

Squabbling over the bill for the US forces in Korea is rankling the hosts.

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As the United States seeks to restart negotiations with North Korea, which shows no signs of dismantling its nuclear program, growing tension with South Korea over the cost of basi...

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PoliticsU.S. and CanadaAsia

An Empty Truce

Chinese-language web browsing patterns suggest the Trump-Xi trade war detente will be short-lived.

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Markets breathed a sigh of relief when Donald Trump and Xi Jinping met on the sidelines of the G20 in Buenos Aires and agreed to stop escalating the trade war. But Predata signals ...

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SecurityAsia

Thailand Security Risk Rises

A signal that anticipates insurgent violence skyrockets.

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A separatist war continues to simmer in Thailand’s three southernmost provinces -- Pattani, Yala, and Narathiwat. The Muslim Malay majority in the region has been demanding local a...

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MarketsAsia

In China, Signs of Financial Strain

Signals for corporate default risk, capital outflow point to credit-related stress.

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Market observers have long been worrying about the risk of a Chinese credit crunch. Now, two of Predata’s early warning signals of financial stress inside the PRC are elevated -- t...

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SecurityAsia

Moon Goes North

Despite hype surrounding inter-Korean summit, signals indicate tepid expectations for a major breakthrough.

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Hopes are high for the third meeting between South Korean President Moon Jae-in and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in Pyongyang this week. Some North Korea watchers took an offici...

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SecurityAsia

In Trade War, Chinese Signal No Retreat

Heightened interest in a beachside resort could signify public support for the Party in the face of the tit-for-tat with the US.

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Every summer, usually sometime in August, top Chinese Communist Party leaders disappear from public view to gather in the seaside resort town of Beidaihe for a secret conclave. Las...

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