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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsMarketsLatin America

Brazil and Mexico Diverge

New presidents are steering Latin America's largest economies in different directions.

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Brazil and Mexico account for two-thirds of Latin America’s GDP. Over the past few years, recession and a crippling corruption probe battered Brazil’s economy. Mexico has maintaine...

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PoliticsMarketsAsiaU.S. and Canada

New Year, Same Complaint

Chinese intellectual property theft and forced technology transfer are salient issues as the trade agreement deadline looms.

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Today, China begins a weeklong holiday to mark the beginning of the Year of the Pig. But trade negotiators will find little time to rest, as less than a month remains until a March...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

MarketsLatin America

Brazil Soybeans & China Trade

A lower than expected soybean yield in Brazil may not provide a boost to local prices

Soybeans

Bumper soybean crops in Brazil have been a boon for China for much of 2018, as last year’s record yields helped Xi Jinping maintain a tough stance in the trade war with the US whil...

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MarketsSecurityMiddle East

The Khashoggi Fallout

Digital scrutiny of Saudi economy and reform agenda remains high after killing of dissident journalist.

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For nearly three weeks, the killing of Saudi dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi has dominated the news cycle and produced a powerful and persistent international backlash. Predat...

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MarketsU.S. and Canada

This Means (Trade) War

Online observers appear to perceive the Trump Administration's tariffs on steel and aluminum as a new phase of protectionism.

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The Trump Administration's decision to impose tariffs on steel and aluminum drove global online interest in protectionism last week. The White House has threatened protectionist ac...

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MarketsMiddle East

Getting Ahead of Commodity Price Moves

Social media information related to major geopolitical events can inform trading strategies for aluminum, platinum, oil and more.

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Geopolitical risk can have an outsize impact on commodities. Predata tracks millions of relevant social media data points to glean insights into potential market-mov...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Iran-Saudi Rivalry, Bitcoin, Oil Markets

Global online audiences were drawn to the Iran-Saudi Rivalry, as the Kingdom targets Hezbollah; Bitcoin, which had a roller-coaster week; Oil Markets, affected by uncertainty in Saudi Arabia and Venezuela; the Qatar Blockade, as another Tehran-Riyadh flashpoint; and the North Korea Crisis, which has devolved to name-calling.

saudi

1.) The Iran-Saudi Rivalry accounted for the greatest share of increased online attention this week. After apparently coercing the resignation of Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Harir...

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MarketsMiddle EastAsiaU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Oil

Many commentators believe oil will remain at $50-$60 into 2018. Yet, variables abound. Our signals suggest a big move in the price of WTI and Brent this month.

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A rise in our WTI and Brent signals suggest a big move in oil markets within the next month....

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityAsia

Xi's China: What Dreams May Come

With the 19th Chinese Communist Party National Congress to be held sometime this autumn, Predata examines what certain economic and geopolitical components of Xi Jinping's hallmark ideology of the past five years — the “Chinese Dream” — have meant for political volatility and markets.

communist congress

After becoming Communist Party chief and leader of the People’s Republic in 2012, Xi Jinping began popularizing the slogan the “Chinese Dream” ( 中国梦). The Dream is the great rejuve...

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