Latest from Research

Showing: Elections and Referendums
PoliticsAsia

With Abe's Big Win, Constitutional Reform In Sight

Digital interest in reforming Japan's pacifist constitution steadily climbed leading into Sunday's snap election.

ioj

With votes still being counted in Japan's snap election, exit polls indicate Shinzo Abe's Liberal Democratic party was on track to secure a commanding two-thirds majority in parlia...

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MarketsPoliticsEurope

After Week of Turmoil, Can Catalonia Land on Its Feet?

Online conversation activity suggests the crisis may be abating.

dafs

CATALONIA | Images coming out of Catalonia since last Sunday's independence referendum have shocked the world: Spanish police beating Catalans and seizing ballot boxes; tens of tho...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

The Catalan Crisis: The Vote Is Just the Beginning

Predata signals show unrest, violence set to continue.

uyug

CATALONIA | Undeterred by arrests, ballot seizures, and a court ruling that the vote would be illegal, Catalonia held an independence referendum today. The Spanish government crack...

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MarketsPoliticsEurope

Catalan Independence Showdown Bodes Ill for Spanish Markets

Equities and fixed income show historical sensitivity to independence movement volatility.

backtest

Global market attention to Catalonia's independence referendum, scheduled for 1 October, has picked up as the Spanish government ramps up its efforts to thwart the vote. Since Janu...

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PoliticsEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: Strong AfD Showing Stirs Populism, Migration Concerns

In German elections today, Merkel secured another four-year mandate, but the nationalist right exceeded expectations.

scoreboard

Today, as expected, German voters handed Angela Merkel another four-year term. Less expected was the strong performance of the populist, far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) par...

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PoliticsEurope

Showdown in Catalonia

Tension is building over the October 1 independence vote

cata

With legal backing from Spain’s constitutional court, Prime Minister Rajoy has moved aggressively to prevent Catalan’s independence referendum scheduled for October 1. The Spanish ...

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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: EU Can Count On Jean-Claude Juncker

This week's notable macro market attention-grabbers were the EU State of the Union, Catalan independence vote, and U.S. tax reform.

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EU Can Count on Jean-ClaudeYesterday European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker gave his annual "State of the EU" address, surprising pundits with an ambitious integration a...

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PoliticsEurope

Germany Decides 2017: In Digital Campaign, Schulz Gains, Far Right Falls

With Germany's federal elections two weeks away, Martin Schulz's SPD has been gaining digital momentum, though it's ambiguous why.

cdu

According to the polls, Angela Merkel's CDU party is almost sure to triumph over Martin Schulz's SPD in Germany's federal elections on September 24. Yet, the SPD has been steadily ...

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MarketsPoliticsEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: Manu and Mutti Take On Europe

The German Election led this week's macro market interest ranking, with European reform issues making large gains.

dfads

Merkel in Control After DebateThe German federal election jumped into the top spot on the Scoreboard this week after Angela Merkel and challenger Martin Schulz faced off in a telev...

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MarketsPoliticsAsia

Weekly Asset Heatmap: New Zealand

In a month under the leadership of 37-year-old political phenom Jacinda Ardern, the Labour Party has all but erased the National Party's 20-point lead in the polls. With less than three weeks until election day, our signals point to a big move in the kiwi in the next two weeks.

xadfa

Our signals suggest a big move in the New Zealand dollar in the next two weeks....

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