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The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsEurope

Will Boris Johnson Really Deliver a Hard Brexit?

Markets are spooked, but a no-deal withdrawal might not be the likeliest option.

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Last week, Boris Johnson became UK prime minister. He appointed a cabinet full of hardline Brexiteers and asserted that Brexit would happen by October -- with a withdrawal deal or ...

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PoliticsLatin America

Guatemala Votes

With anti-corruption frontrunner disqualified, voters look for options.

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As rising numbers of Central American migrants arrive at the US border seeking asylum, the discussion in the United States has focused on Mexico. Relatively little attention has be...

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PoliticsEurope

For Britain, It's the Economy Stupid

European Parliamentary elections and Brexit politics dominate headlines, but concerns about the UK economy are rising.

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This Thursday, the UK will vote in European elections, a poll that for British voters was never supposed to happen but for Brexit’s delay until October. The circumstances of the el...

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PoliticsMiddle East

Israel Votes

Trends in the digital realm may bode well for Netanyahu's challenger.

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On Tuesday, Israelis head to the polls in what has been a surprisingly close and contentious general election. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is fighting for his political life....

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PoliticsEurope

Is Britain Sleepwalking Off the Brexit Cliff?

As a pivotal week begins, the public appears to be tuning out.

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As the UK heads into a climactic week for Brexit -- in which a Parliamentary vote on Prime Minister Theresa May’s revamped deal may determine the survival of her government -- why ...

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PoliticsEurope

Parliament's Vote

As MPs vote on Theresa May's Brexit deal, the stakes are high and expectations of passage low.

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Today, Members of Parliament vote on whether to approve the Brexit deal Prime Minister Theresa May negotiated with the European Union. She appears set to lose the vote. It is uncle...

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PoliticsEurope

May's Brexit Blindspot

Forget Hard Brexit vs. Soft Brexit. Online, supporters of the People's Vote are winning the day.

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Trends in the digital debate surrounding Brexit suggest Prime Minister Theresa May might be overlooking what could emerge as the biggest threat to her Brexit deal – and ultimately ...

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Politics

2018 U.S. Midterms Outlook: Immigration in the Spotlight

The migrant caravan and Pittsburgh shooting drove digital interest in immigration and gun control issues to climb, at the expense of healthcare and economic issues. Plus, foreign policy lingers in the national attention; the Supreme Court does not.

Immigration/Gun Control

Heading into October, candidates from both parties were set to wage the battle for both houses of Congress along familiar policy lines. Between September 1st and October 25th, onli...

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Politics

2018 U.S. Midterms Outlook

Trade and foreign policy signals rise on announcement of new USMCA deal

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The announcement of the new trilateral trade deal between the US, Canada, and Mexico sent Predata's NAFTA signal soaring. Some voters may see USMCA as yet another front of the brew...

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PoliticsSecurityLatin America

When Will Venezuela Crack?

A divided opposition did capture online attention, but predictive signals favor the status quo.

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Long before Sunday’s vote, Venezuela’s presidential election was a fait accompli. Nicholas Maduro, who has become more autocratic the deeper the country falls into crisis, banned m...

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