Latest from Research

Showing: Elections and Referendums

Markets

April 16, 2018 | By Predata staff

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: April 16, 2018

U.S.-led strikes against Syrian government chemical weapons facilities drove global concern over oil markets and escalating conflict in the Middle East.

Politics Security Europe

March 19, 2018 | By Molly Dwyer and Gordon LaForge

Russia's Vote of Indifference

Russian internet users show uncharacteristic disinterest amid Sunday's presidential election.

To the surprise of no one, Russian President Vladimir Putin was elected to a fourth six-year term on Sunday. Viable opposition leaders were barred from running. Voter turnout, whic...

Politics Europe

February 26, 2018 | By Gordon LaForge

Will the SPD Youth Overthrow the GroKo?

Signals suggest the German young socialists' push to block Angela Merkel's grand coalition is falling flat.

In Germany, the SPD's 464,000 party members are voting by postal ballot on whether to approve a four-year “grand coalition” (nicknamed the "GroKo") with Angela Merkel's CDU. The re...

Politics Security Europe

February 05, 2018 | By Molly Dwyer

Navalny Who? The Russian Opposition Broadens

Russians are paying greater attention to economic and political grievances rather than specific opposition figures.

Last week, principal Vladimir Putin critic Alexei Navalny led nationwide protests to call for a boycott of the March 18 presidential election. For Putin, the vote is a fait accompl...

Politics Latin America

February 04, 2018 | By Gordon LaForge

The Unlikely Persistence of Lula and Pension Reform

Despite a corruption sentence, Brazil's leading presidential candidate says he's not done yet. And will this be the month long-anticipated pension reform passes Congress?

Investors breathed a sigh of relief two weeks ago when an appeals court upheld a corruption conviction against Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, technically barring the former president f...

Politics U.S. and Canada Latin America Asia

January 28, 2018 | By Gordon LaForge

Global Macro Scoreboard: January 28

This week, international online audiences turned their attention to trade issues, the U.S. federal budget and debt, and Brazil's political landscape after an appeals court upheld a corruption ruling against presidential frontrunner Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

Politics Asia

January 14, 2018 | By Gordon LaForge

The Malaysian Opposition Comes Together

A surprising political reconciliation could be a watershed moment, our digital volatility indicators show.

Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak has proved a resilient leader. By cracking down on dissent and strengthening affirmative action for the Muslim Malay majority that constitutes ...

Politics Markets Europe

November 07, 2017 | By Gordon LaForge and Samuel Lee

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Italy and Hogs

Italian elections cause outsized stir among online audiences, both in Italy and across Europe, while online concern over porcine diseases bring potential implications for the futures market.

Italy: Populist motifs drive Italy signals to yearly high in the days before the Sicilian voteDays before the November 5 vote in Sicily, our Italian volatility signals rose to thei...

Politics Asia

October 22, 2017 | By Gordon LaForge

With Abe's Big Win, Constitutional Reform In Sight

Digital interest in reforming Japan's pacifist constitution steadily climbed leading into Sunday's snap election.

With votes still being counted in Japan's snap election, exit polls indicate Shinzo Abe's Liberal Democratic party was on track to secure a commanding two-thirds majority in parlia...