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Markets

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: August 7, 2018

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For the second straight week global interest in the US national debt surged, perhaps due to a report that in order to pay for ballooning government deficits, US Treasury borrowing in the second half of 2018 would increase 63 percent on the previous year.

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PoliticsSecurityLatin America

When Will Venezuela Crack?

A divided opposition did capture online attention, but predictive signals favor the status quo.

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Long before Sunday’s vote, Venezuela’s presidential election was a fait accompli. Nicholas Maduro, who has become more autocratic the deeper the country falls into crisis, banned m...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

Russia's Vote of Indifference

Russian internet users show uncharacteristic disinterest amid Sunday's presidential election.

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To the surprise of no one, Russian President Vladimir Putin was elected to a fourth six-year term on Sunday. Viable opposition leaders were barred from running. Voter turnout, whic...

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PoliticsEurope

Will the SPD Youth Overthrow the GroKo?

Signals suggest the German young socialists' push to block Angela Merkel's grand coalition is falling flat.

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In Germany, the SPD's 464,000 party members are voting by postal ballot on whether to approve a four-year “grand coalition” (nicknamed the "GroKo") with Angela Merkel's CDU. The re...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

Navalny Who? The Russian Opposition Broadens

Russians are paying greater attention to economic and political grievances rather than specific opposition figures.

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Last week, principal Vladimir Putin critic Alexei Navalny led nationwide protests to call for a boycott of the March 18 presidential election. For Putin, the vote is a fait accompl...

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PoliticsLatin America

The Unlikely Persistence of Lula and Pension Reform

Despite a corruption sentence, Brazil's leading presidential candidate says he's not done yet. And will this be the month long-anticipated pension reform passes Congress?

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Investors breathed a sigh of relief two weeks ago when an appeals court upheld a corruption conviction against Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, technically barring the former president f...

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PoliticsU.S. and CanadaLatin AmericaAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: January 28

This week, international online audiences turned their attention to trade issues, the U.S. federal budget and debt, and Brazil's political landscape after an appeals court upheld a corruption ruling against presidential frontrunner Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

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PoliticsAsia

The Malaysian Opposition Comes Together

A surprising political reconciliation could be a watershed moment, our digital volatility indicators show.

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Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak has proved a resilient leader. By cracking down on dissent and strengthening affirmative action for the Muslim Malay majority that constitutes ...

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PoliticsMarketsEurope

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Italy and Hogs

Italian elections cause outsized stir among online audiences, both in Italy and across Europe, while online concern over porcine diseases bring potential implications for the futures market.

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Italy: Populist motifs drive Italy signals to yearly high in the days before the Sicilian voteDays before the November 5 vote in Sicily, our Italian volatility signals rose to thei...

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PoliticsAsia

With Abe's Big Win, Constitutional Reform In Sight

Digital interest in reforming Japan's pacifist constitution steadily climbed leading into Sunday's snap election.

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With votes still being counted in Japan's snap election, exit polls indicate Shinzo Abe's Liberal Democratic party was on track to secure a commanding two-thirds majority in parlia...

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PoliticsMarketsEurope

After Week of Turmoil, Can Catalonia Land on Its Feet?

Online conversation activity suggests the crisis may be abating.

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CATALONIA | Images coming out of Catalonia since last Sunday's independence referendum have shocked the world: Spanish police beating Catalans and seizing ballot boxes; tens of tho...

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