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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsEurope

For Britain, It's the Economy Stupid

European Parliamentary elections and Brexit politics dominate headlines, but concerns about the UK economy are rising.

eceae

This Thursday, the UK will vote in European elections, a poll that for British voters was never supposed to happen but for Brexit’s delay until October. The circumstances of the el...

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MarketsU.S. and CanadaEuropeAsia

The Yield Curve Inverted

But that might not be reason to panic.

scsw

There has been reason for pessimism in markets recently. Last week, the Fed issued unexpectedly dovish rates guidance, saying it would likely not hike interest rates this year. Wea...

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SecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeAsia

The Limits of Hatred

The White nationalist gunman who killed 50 in Christchurch triggered worldwide interest in far-right movements and their ideological underpinnings -- but not significantly.

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The attack on two New Zealand mosques by a White supremacist gunman that left 50 dead sparked an uptick in online interest in far-right movements worldwide. The shooter, a 28-year-...

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PoliticsEurope

Is Britain Sleepwalking Off the Brexit Cliff?

As a pivotal week begins, the public appears to be tuning out.

aeceaea

As the UK heads into a climactic week for Brexit -- in which a Parliamentary vote on Prime Minister Theresa May’s revamped deal may determine the survival of her government -- why ...

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PoliticsEurope

This Week In Brexit

In Two Charts

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With the UK set to leave the European Union March 29, the stakes for Brexit are rising. Labour has officially come out in favor of a second referendum, and Theresa May faces the ‘h...

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PoliticsEurope

Parliament's Vote

As MPs vote on Theresa May's Brexit deal, the stakes are high and expectations of passage low.

dfadfada

Today, Members of Parliament vote on whether to approve the Brexit deal Prime Minister Theresa May negotiated with the European Union. She appears set to lose the vote. It is uncle...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

PoliticsEurope

Brexit Outlook

Predata's outlook for Brexit for 2019

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Predata’s Brexit signals monitor the salience of specific issues and the resonance of the messages of different factions in the Brexit negotiations. Here are some takeaways from 20...

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SecurityEurope

Christmas Terror Risk

After Strasbourg, threat of terror in Europe still looms over the holidays.

adfcace

On December 11, a French citizen on an Islamic extremist watchlist opened fire at a Christmas market in the town of Strasbourg, killing five and wounding 11. In the days before the...

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SecurityEurope

Trouble at Sea

Signals indicate Russia-Ukraine tensions set to escalate.

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Predata signals provided advanced warning of the altercation between Russian and Ukrainian vessels in the strait connecting the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea. Now they suggest tens...

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