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Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: August 7, 2018

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For the second straight week global interest in the US national debt surged, perhaps due to a report that in order to pay for ballooning government deficits, US Treasury borrowing in the second half of 2018 would increase 63 percent on the previous year.

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SecurityEurope

The NATO Reaction

Signals show that Trump's summit performance shook allies, piqued Russian interest.

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At last week's NATO Summit, President Trump confounded transatlantic allies. He castigated European nations for free-riding, criticized Angela Merkel for letting Germany become “ca...

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SecurityEurope

Istanbul Terror Risk Rising

After Erdogan's swearing in, climbing predictive signal points to higher likelihood of terrorism.

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A Predata predictive signal indicates that Istanbul faces heightened risk of a terrorist incident within the next month. The signal, which anticipates the likelihood of a terror-re...

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MarketsEurope

The Greek Return

Signals point to promising outlook for Greek credit.

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Last Wednesday, Greece's eurozone creditors agreed to a debt relief deal that would defer the bulk of repayment on bailout loans past 2030. A Predata signal indicating the probabil...

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SecurityEurope

The Real Russian Terror Threat

Despite a murky car-ramming in Moscow, a predictive signal suggests terrorism risk is rising in St. Petersburg.

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On Saturday, a taxi driver abruptly jumped a crowded Moscow sidewalk and crashed into several pedestrians. Eight were injured, and the man, a citizen of Kyrgyzstan, was taken into ...

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PoliticsEurope

Are UK Corporates Bearish on Brexit?

Signals suggest UK-based businesses may be preparing for the worst.

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Let's say you are a UK-based business, and Brexit is coming. You have your ear to the ground. You closely track the negotiations, trying to predict whether the divorce will be hard...

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MarketsSecurityEuropeMiddle East

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: May 8, 2018

Nuclear issues once again dominated global audiences' attention, though Italian politics is resurgent amidst government uncertainty.

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap - May 8, 2018

1. Nuclear issues continued to captivate global audiences, the impending recertification of the Iran Deal chiefly among them. Predata's signal measuring Iranian interest in their n...

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SecurityEurope

Inauguration Number What?

Protests across the country ahead of Putin's inauguration made their mark online in spite of reduced turnout.

Navalny protesting in March 2017

This past weekend, Russian interest in opposition movements and themes matched levels observed around other major protests. Opposition firebrand Alexey Navalny called for a day of ...

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SecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle East

A Brand Macron Bump for the Iran Deal?

Emmanuel Macron's much-publicized state visit and presidential glad-handing appear to have energized support for the JCPOA online.

Macron and Trump

Armed with a heavy-handed dose of transatlantic bonhomie, Emmanuel Macron travelled to Washington last week for a state visit, ready to press President Trump to change tack on the ...

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MarketsSecurityEurope

These Sanctions Bite

Web traffic shows latest U.S. sanctions are hitting home in Russia, driving concerns about economic crisis.

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On April 6, the United States announced new sanctions against Russian oligarchs and businesses. The measures have wrought economic havoc in Russia. The ruble fell 5 percent against...

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SecurityEurope

Mall Blaze Sparks Outrage Across Russia

The tragedy in Siberia is driving widespread Russian attention to government corruption.

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For the last month, the escalating diplomatic conflict over the Kremlin's alleged poisoning of former intelligence double agent Sergei Skripal and his daughter in the UK has captiv...

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