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The Khashoggi Fallout

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Digital scrutiny of Saudi economy and reform agenda remains high after killing of dissident journalist.

For nearly three weeks, the killing of Saudi dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi has dominated the news cycle and produced a powerful and persistent international backlash. Predat...

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SecurityEurope

Trouble at Sea

Signals indicate Russia-Ukraine tensions set to escalate.

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Predata signals provided advanced warning of the altercation between Russian and Ukrainian vessels in the strait connecting the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea. Now they suggest tens...

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PoliticsEurope

May's Brexit Blindspot

Forget Hard Brexit vs. Soft Brexit. Online, supporters of the People's Vote are winning the day.

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Trends in the digital debate surrounding Brexit suggest Prime Minister Theresa May might be overlooking what could emerge as the biggest threat to her Brexit deal – and ultimately ...

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SecurityEuropeAsia

Russia's Eastern Games

Largest military drills since the Cold War may provide the backdrop for international adventurism.

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Russian military forces were put on high alert across the country, from the Baltic to the Pacific, and the first Chinese warplanes landed in the Urals last week ahead of Russia's l...

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SecurityEurope

The NATO Reaction

Signals show that Trump's summit performance shook allies, piqued Russian interest.

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At last week's NATO Summit, President Trump confounded transatlantic allies. He castigated European nations for free-riding, criticized Angela Merkel for letting Germany become “ca...

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SecurityEurope

Istanbul Terror Risk Rising

After Erdogan's swearing in, climbing predictive signal points to higher likelihood of terrorism.

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A Predata predictive signal indicates that Istanbul faces heightened risk of a terrorist incident within the next month. The signal, which anticipates the likelihood of a terror-re...

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MarketsEurope

The Greek Return

Signals point to promising outlook for Greek credit.

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Last Wednesday, Greece's eurozone creditors agreed to a debt relief deal that would defer the bulk of repayment on bailout loans past 2030. A Predata signal indicating the probabil...

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SecurityEurope

The Real Russian Terror Threat

Despite a murky car-ramming in Moscow, a predictive signal suggests terrorism risk is rising in St. Petersburg.

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On Saturday, a taxi driver abruptly jumped a crowded Moscow sidewalk and crashed into several pedestrians. Eight were injured, and the man, a citizen of Kyrgyzstan, was taken into ...

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PoliticsEurope

Are UK Corporates Bearish on Brexit?

Signals suggest UK-based businesses may be preparing for the worst.

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Let's say you are a UK-based business, and Brexit is coming. You have your ear to the ground. You closely track the negotiations, trying to predict whether the divorce will be hard...

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MarketsSecurityEuropeMiddle East

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: May 8, 2018

Nuclear issues once again dominated global audiences' attention, though Italian politics is resurgent amidst government uncertainty.

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap - May 8, 2018

1. Nuclear issues continued to captivate global audiences, the impending recertification of the Iran Deal chiefly among them. Predata's signal measuring Iranian interest in their n...

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SecurityEurope

Inauguration Number What?

Protests across the country ahead of Putin's inauguration made their mark online in spite of reduced turnout.

Navalny protesting in March 2017

This past weekend, Russian interest in opposition movements and themes matched levels observed around other major protests. Opposition firebrand Alexey Navalny called for a day of ...

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