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The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsEurope

Parliament's Vote

As MPs vote on Theresa May's Brexit deal, the stakes are high and expectations of passage low.

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Today, Members of Parliament vote on whether to approve the Brexit deal Prime Minister Theresa May negotiated with the European Union. She appears set to lose the vote. It is uncle...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

PoliticsEurope

Brexit Outlook

Predata's outlook for Brexit for 2019

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Predata’s Brexit signals monitor the salience of specific issues and the resonance of the messages of different factions in the Brexit negotiations. Here are some takeaways from 20...

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SecurityEurope

Christmas Terror Risk

After Strasbourg, threat of terror in Europe still looms over the holidays.

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On December 11, a French citizen on an Islamic extremist watchlist opened fire at a Christmas market in the town of Strasbourg, killing five and wounding 11. In the days before the...

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SecurityEurope

Trouble at Sea

Signals indicate Russia-Ukraine tensions set to escalate.

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Predata signals provided advanced warning of the altercation between Russian and Ukrainian vessels in the strait connecting the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea. Now they suggest tens...

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PoliticsEurope

May's Brexit Blindspot

Forget Hard Brexit vs. Soft Brexit. Online, supporters of the People's Vote are winning the day.

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Trends in the digital debate surrounding Brexit suggest Prime Minister Theresa May might be overlooking what could emerge as the biggest threat to her Brexit deal – and ultimately ...

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SecurityEuropeAsia

Russia's Eastern Games

Largest military drills since the Cold War may provide the backdrop for international adventurism.

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Russian military forces were put on high alert across the country, from the Baltic to the Pacific, and the first Chinese warplanes landed in the Urals last week ahead of Russia's l...

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SecurityEurope

The NATO Reaction

Signals show that Trump's summit performance shook allies, piqued Russian interest.

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At last week's NATO Summit, President Trump confounded transatlantic allies. He castigated European nations for free-riding, criticized Angela Merkel for letting Germany become “ca...

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SecurityEurope

Istanbul Terror Risk Rising

After Erdogan's swearing in, climbing predictive signal points to higher likelihood of terrorism.

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A Predata predictive signal indicates that Istanbul faces heightened risk of a terrorist incident within the next month. The signal, which anticipates the likelihood of a terror-re...

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MarketsEurope

The Greek Return

Signals point to promising outlook for Greek credit.

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Last Wednesday, Greece's eurozone creditors agreed to a debt relief deal that would defer the bulk of repayment on bailout loans past 2030. A Predata signal indicating the probabil...

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