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The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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MarketsAsia

China's Economy is Slowing. Do Chinese Blame the Trade War?

Patterns of online attention suggest the trade war may not be stinging China as much as some Western media assume.

dadaexe

Data released yesterday showed China’s economy grew at a rate of 6.2% in the second quarter of this year, the slowest pace in nearly 30 years. Still, that figure was in line with e...

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MarketsU.S. and CanadaEuropeAsia

The Yield Curve Inverted

But that might not be reason to panic.

scsw

There has been reason for pessimism in markets recently. Last week, the Fed issued unexpectedly dovish rates guidance, saying it would likely not hike interest rates this year. Wea...

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MarketsEurope

The Greek Return

Signals point to promising outlook for Greek credit.

cdae

Last Wednesday, Greece's eurozone creditors agreed to a debt relief deal that would defer the bulk of repayment on bailout loans past 2030. A Predata signal indicating the probabil...

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MarketsAsia

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Japan

Big moves may be on the horizon for JPY and 10-yr yields

map

A rise in our BOJ signals indicates big moves in the yen and yields may be forthcoming....

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MarketsU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Canada

The loonie and Canadian 10-yr yields may experience big moves in the coming weeks.

xaed

Underlying digital conversations that have preceded past moves in the Canadian dollar and 10-yr yields suggest big moves are in store within the next 1-2 weeks....

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MarketsU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: U.S.

With uncertainty building over Fed succession and the debt ceiling, our signals indicate big moves in the dollar and U.S. yields are forthcoming.

tghy

Our signals suggest big moves in the Dollar Index and U.S. 10-yr yields within the next 1-2 weeks...

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PoliticsMarketsAsia

Australia, The Smashed Avocado Economy

A national argument over avocado toast could send the Australian dollar tumbling.

avocado toast

DAVID BYRNE once quipped that the national dish of Australia is toast. For the past year, politicians and pundits throughout the great southern land have done that description just...

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