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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

MarketsAsia

In China, Signs of Financial Strain

Signals for corporate default risk, capital outflow point to credit-related stress.

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Market observers have long been worrying about the risk of a Chinese credit crunch. Now, two of Predata’s early warning signals of financial stress inside the PRC are elevated -- t...

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MarketsLatin America

How Far Will Argentina's Tempest Blow?

A Predata index suggests it's not time to panic yet.

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Foul winds have been whipping through emerging markets. After the Turkish lira plunged last month triggering falls in European markets, the collapse of the Argentine peso has unlea...

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MarketsSecurityEuropeMiddle East

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: May 8, 2018

Nuclear issues once again dominated global audiences' attention, though Italian politics is resurgent amidst government uncertainty.

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap - May 8, 2018

1. Nuclear issues continued to captivate global audiences, the impending recertification of the Iran Deal chiefly among them. Predata's signal measuring Iranian interest in their n...

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MarketsAsia

Signals Point To Big Downward Move in USDJPY

Though the Bank of Japan has affirmed it will maintain ultra-loose monetary policy, our FX signals suggest that a sudden appreciation in the yen against the dollar is on the horizon.

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Predata signals related to the Bank of Japan suggest that a big, unexpected gain in the yen against the dollar may be forthcoming, as market expectations about the future of BOJ qu...

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PoliticsMarketsMiddle East

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Lebanon, Bahrain

With Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ramping up the regional power struggle with Iran, the Lebanese economy is walking a tightrope. And recent anomalies in Predata signals suggest traders are keeping a close eye on the possibility of a currency devaluation in Bahrain.

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Lebanon is a developing economy. And yet for each of the last four years, its GDP has grown by less than 2%. Though desperate to alleviate one of the world's worst debt-to-GDP rati...

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PoliticsMarketsU.S. and CanadaEuropeAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Germany, China, France

Online attention to both German Elections and EU Reform rose, U.S.-China trade concerns resurfaced, Macron's online interest benefits as faith in other Western heads of state falters.

globalmacro-11-27-17

1. German Elections topped the Global Macro Scoreboard this week after coalition talks between Angela Merkel's CDU, the liberal FDP, and the Greens failed. Increased attention to E...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityEurope

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Germany, Great Britain

Our analysis suggests Merkel is on shaky ground, and a big move may be coming in the pound.

11-21

The Free Democratic Party (FDP) walked out of coalition talks Sunday due to reported divisions over energy, tax policy, and asylum-seekers. Predata’s signals that capture online Ge...

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PoliticsMarketsU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Bitcoin

Spikes in online interest in bitcoin tend to precede price gains, and the President seems poised to nominate Jerome Powell as fed chair.

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The Bitcoin Boom: What Lies Beneath...

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PoliticsMarketsU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Federal Reserve

Online audiences are focusing their attention on Jerome Powell and John Taylor. But regardless of who Trump chooses to chair the Fed, our predictive signals point to increased volatility in the DXY and U.S. 10-yr yields.

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Predata's signals measuring online interest in the main Fed chair candidates comports with market expectations....

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