Latest from Research

Showing: Geopolitics
Markets

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: August 28, 2018

frwtf

Venezuela's historic currency devaluation resonated across the global internet this week.

Read more

SecurityAfrica

South Sudan's Impossible Peace

A deal has been signed, but the risk of violence looms.

adfdc

Last month, South Sudanese President Salva Kiir concluded a peace deal with Riek Machar, his erstwhile vice president and leader of the SPLM-IO rebel group. The deal aims to end th...

Read more

SecurityMiddle East

The Republic Set To Strike Back

Renewed sanctions threat, terrorist attack likely to produce military reaction from Tehran.

dfdecdd

Today, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani addresses the UN General Assembly amid an increasingly perilous atmosphere. Since withdrawing from the nuclear deal, the United States has r...

Read more

SecurityAsia

Moon Goes North

Despite hype surrounding inter-Korean summit, signals indicate tepid expectations for a major breakthrough.

dafec

Hopes are high for the third meeting between South Korean President Moon Jae-in and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in Pyongyang this week. Some North Korea watchers took an offici...

Read more

SecurityAsia

In Trade War, Chinese Signal No Retreat

Heightened interest in a beachside resort could signify public support for the Party in the face of the tit-for-tat with the US.

dafeae

Every summer, usually sometime in August, top Chinese Communist Party leaders disappear from public view to gather in the seaside resort town of Beidaihe for a secret conclave. Las...

Read more

SecurityEuropeAsia

Russia's Eastern Games

Largest military drills since the Cold War may provide the backdrop for international adventurism.

dfafd

Russian military forces were put on high alert across the country, from the Baltic to the Pacific, and the first Chinese warplanes landed in the Urals last week ahead of Russia's l...

Read more

SecurityLatin America

Caracas Starts To Crack

With revenue sources vanishing, the military may take matters into its own hands.

cxz

As Venezuela has plunged deeper into crisis, President Nicolas Maduro has managed to keep his grip on power in large part by placating key elements of Venezuela's military. General...

Read more

SecurityMiddle East

The Gulf Widens

Ongoing protests in Iran and rising regional security tensions point to a fraught near-term situation in the Persian Gulf.

dacdse

After protests over desperate economic conditions flared in Iran over the last two weeks, a Predata anticipatory signal suggests unrest is likely to continue. As the chart below sh...

Read more

SecurityAsia

Security Risk Rises in Pakistan

After major attacks during the election campaign, the risk of a major incident is rising.

dafde

After his party swept into power for the first time in a general election on July 25, cricket star turned likely prime minister Imran Khan faces a daunting list of challenges. Paki...

Read more

SecurityAsia

The Gulf Heats Up

After provocative words from Rouhani and Trump, further escalations may come.

dacda

In the early morning hours Monday, President Trump took to Twitter to warn Iran of “severe consequences” if it threatened the United States. The tweet — which seemed exceptionally ...

Read more

SecurityEurope

The NATO Reaction

Signals show that Trump's summit performance shook allies, piqued Russian interest.

dsfa

At last week's NATO Summit, President Trump confounded transatlantic allies. He castigated European nations for free-riding, criticized Angela Merkel for letting Germany become “ca...

Read more