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The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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SecurityEuropeMiddle East

Turkey the Pariah

Ankara's Syria offensive is prompting scrutiny of Turkey's place in the world -- especially from Europe.

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Last week, President Trump abruptly ordered a complete withdrawal of U.S. forces from northern Syria. Within 24 hours, Turkish forces crossed the border, attacking the Syrian Kurdi...

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PoliticsSecurityMiddle East

The World Is Watching

As global leaders gather for the UN General Assembly, the Middle East, North Korea, and climate change are dominating the internet.

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This week in New York City, world leaders have gathered for the UN General Assembly. It is a tense time for the planet. An attack on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil facility has stoked ...

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SecurityMiddle East

Does This Mean War?

The drone attack on Saudi oil facilities stoked fears about oil production, but not immediately about military conflict.

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On Saturday, September 14, drones claimed by Houthi rebels from Yemen attacked major oil production facilities at Abqaiq in Saudi Arabia. The damage forced disruptions that halved ...

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SecurityMiddle East

Afghanistan Without the US

A likely US withdrawal is resonating online -- but not in the ways Washington may want.

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After 18 years at war in Afghanistan, the United States may finally be nearing an exit. Late last week, international media reported that US and Taliban officials were close to rea...

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SecurityAsia

Hong Kong Sparks Taiwan Volatility

Online activity related to cross-strait relations spikes amid extradition bill protests.

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Over the past week, more than a million Hong Kong residents have taken to the streets to oppose a bill that would allow the extradition of Hong Kong residents to the Chinese mainla...

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SecurityU.S. and CanadaLatin America

The Mexican Tariff Reaction

Signals suggest White House tariff threat may be more serious than markets assume

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At the end of last week, President Trump announced that starting June 10, the United States would impose a 5 percent tariff on all Mexican imports unless the country alleviated the...

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SecurityMiddle East

Are Iranian Proxies Mobilizing?

Digital realm erupts over possibility of regional confrontation.

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For a month, the United States has ratcheted up the pressure on Iran. At the end of April it ended waivers to sanctions for nations that imported Iranian oil. After Tehran announce...

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SecurityMiddle East

On the Ropes, ISIS Leader Surfaces

A rare video of Baghdadi emerged at a low point for the terror group, but online interest in ISIS' preferred explosive is rising.

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On April 29, ISIS released a video featuring the group’s leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. It was the first video of the self-styled Caliph of the Islamic State since June 2014, and it ...

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SecurityAsia

Surmounting the Impasse

Signals show momentum for diplomatic progress may be building in Korea

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Since the late February Hanoi summit between President Trump and Chairman Kim ended in impasse, negotiations on the Korean peninsula have reportedly been stalled. Two Predata signa...

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PoliticsSecurityU.S. and CanadaAsia

Market Intelligence In Depth: US and China up Geopolitical Pressure, Inch Towards Deal

Talks progress despite geopolitical posturing in Europe and the Pacific

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This is a highlight from one of the daily global markets briefings Predata sends to financial markets clients each morning. To learn more about becoming a Predata client, click her...

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