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Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: August 7, 2018

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For the second straight week global interest in the US national debt surged, perhaps due to a report that in order to pay for ballooning government deficits, US Treasury borrowing in the second half of 2018 would increase 63 percent on the previous year.

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SecurityMiddle East

The Gulf Widens

Ongoing protests in Iran and rising regional security tensions point to a fraught near-term situation in the Persian Gulf.

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After protests over desperate economic conditions flared in Iran over the last two weeks, a Predata anticipatory signal suggests unrest is likely to continue. As the chart below sh...

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SecurityAsia

Security Risk Rises in Pakistan

After major attacks during the election campaign, the risk of a major incident is rising.

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After his party swept into power for the first time in a general election on July 25, cricket star turned likely prime minister Imran Khan faces a daunting list of challenges. Paki...

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SecurityAsia

The Gulf Heats Up

After provocative words from Rouhani and Trump, further escalations may come.

dacda

In the early morning hours Monday, President Trump took to Twitter to warn Iran of “severe consequences” if it threatened the United States. The tweet — which seemed exceptionally ...

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SecurityEurope

The NATO Reaction

Signals show that Trump's summit performance shook allies, piqued Russian interest.

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At last week's NATO Summit, President Trump confounded transatlantic allies. He castigated European nations for free-riding, criticized Angela Merkel for letting Germany become “ca...

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SecurityEurope

Istanbul Terror Risk Rising

After Erdogan's swearing in, climbing predictive signal points to higher likelihood of terrorism.

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A Predata predictive signal indicates that Istanbul faces heightened risk of a terrorist incident within the next month. The signal, which anticipates the likelihood of a terror-re...

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SecurityMiddle East

Bagram Security Threat

Our predictive signal suggests risk of an attack on or near Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan is elevated through the middle of July.

Bagram AB

A signal anticipating major security incidents around Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan hit its highest level in over nine months on June 22nd. This spike indicates the risk of an att...

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SecurityEurope

The Real Russian Terror Threat

Despite a murky car-ramming in Moscow, a predictive signal suggests terrorism risk is rising in St. Petersburg.

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On Saturday, a taxi driver abruptly jumped a crowded Moscow sidewalk and crashed into several pedestrians. Eight were injured, and the man, a citizen of Kyrgyzstan, was taken into ...

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SecurityAsia

Kim on Sure Footing at the Summit

Signals suggest a favorable context for the North Koreans in Singapore

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On the eve of the Trump-Kim Summit, Predata signals capturing patterns of web traffic reveal a North Korean regime secure in its place and an expert community skeptical that the hi...

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SecurityMiddle East

Jerusalem Terror Risk Rising

In the wake of the US embassy relocation, likelihood of terrorism remains high.

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The fallout from the US Embassy opening in Jerusalem on May 14 has rocked the Gaza Strip. Just yesterday, Hamas and IDF forces exchanged cross-border rocket and mortar fire, marki...

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PoliticsSecurityLatin America

When Will Venezuela Crack?

A divided opposition did capture online attention, but predictive signals favor the status quo.

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Long before Sunday’s vote, Venezuela’s presidential election was a fait accompli. Nicholas Maduro, who has become more autocratic the deeper the country falls into crisis, banned m...

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