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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaLatin America

Weekly Asset Heatmap: North America

As NAFTA talks resume this week, our predictive signals indicate big moves may be forthcoming in North American currencies -- particularly, a rising risk the peso could soon depreciate. Coupled with still-elevated concern over protectionism in Canada and Mexico, the signals suggest observers are bearish on the prospects for renegotiation.

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A rise in our Federal Reserve, Banxico, and BoC signals suggest big moves in North American currencies within the next month....

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MarketsLatin America

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Brazil

The real could significantly depreciate against the dollar in the next month.

rth

A Predata signal that anticipates big, unexpected depreciations in the real hit a yearly high, strongly suggesting a big upward move in the USD/BRL pair over the next 30 days....

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MarketsPoliticsLatin AmericaEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: Venezuela El Paria

With the U.S. applying sanctions, Venezuela's worsening crisis leads our list of global macro issues in digital interest this week.

macro s

Venezuela took the highest spot on the Scoreboard this week, as fresh U.S. sanctions have brought the country's political and social crisis back to the forefront of global markets....

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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaLatin AmericaEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: U.S. Debt-Ceiling Anxiety Returns

Predata's Global Macro Scoreboard ranks the week's stories generating the most interest in the digital realm.

scoreboard

To build the Global Macro Scoreboard, we identified 34 issues driving global markets (see the master list at the bottom). We then built a signal for each based on digital traffic (...

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PoliticsLatin America

Despite Temer Corruption Indictment, Government Calm and Carrying On

Signals indicate the unpopular president will weather criminal charges and press on with economic reforms in the near-term

A recent lack of notable activity in Predata Government and Economy signals suggests the president and his unpopular economic reform agenda may weather blockbuster corruption charg...

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PoliticsLatin America

Who's Next In Line for Impeachment Once Temer Goes?

As the embattled president's troubles mount, attention has turned to the nomination of a successor.

temer successors 5/28/17

DEVELOPMENTS since we wrote about the possible impeachments of Michel Temer and Donald Trump last week have confirmed that of the two embattled presidents, it's Temer who's at far ...

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MarketsPoliticsLatin America

Mexico's Trump Moment Has Arrived

The peso is set to weaken as the gubernatorial election in Mexico State nears its end — with the result likely to have significant ramifications for next year's presidential race.

USDMXN 5/25/17

HELPED BY THE TRUMP administration's troubled first months and evaporating hopes of a big jolt of fiscal stimulus in the U.S., the Mexican peso has gained over 15% year-to-date. Bu...

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PoliticsU.S. and CanadaLatin America

Trump and Temer, the Weak Flesh Presidents

How real are the chances that Donald Trump and Michel Temer, each confronting fresh crises, will face impeachment?

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FROM THE MOMENT he took office, there have been calls for him to leave — either by resignation, impeachment, or some form of divine vaporization. This statement could apply as much...

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