Latest from Research

Showing: Middle East

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: August 28, 2018


Venezuela's historic currency devaluation resonated across the global internet this week.

Read more

SecurityMiddle East

The Gulf Widens

Ongoing protests in Iran and rising regional security tensions point to a fraught near-term situation in the Persian Gulf.


After protests over desperate economic conditions flared in Iran over the last two weeks, a Predata anticipatory signal suggests unrest is likely to continue. As the chart below sh...

Read more

SecurityMiddle East

Bagram Security Threat

Our predictive signal suggests risk of an attack on or near Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan is elevated through the middle of July.

Bagram AB

A signal anticipating major security incidents around Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan hit its highest level in over nine months on June 22nd. This spike indicates the risk of an att...

Read more

SecurityMiddle East

Jerusalem Terror Risk Rising

In the wake of the US embassy relocation, likelihood of terrorism remains high.


The fallout from the US Embassy opening in Jerusalem on May 14 has rocked the Gaza Strip. Just yesterday, Hamas and IDF forces exchanged cross-border rocket and mortar fire, marki...

Read more

SecurityMiddle East

Israel-Iran Tensions Rising

Israeli digital concern, predictive signals point to heightened risk of escalation.


Two days after President Trump announced the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal, conflict between Israel and Iran flared. Iranian Revolutionary Guards in Syria fired rocket...

Read more

MarketsSecurityEuropeMiddle East

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: May 8, 2018

Nuclear issues once again dominated global audiences' attention, though Italian politics is resurgent amidst government uncertainty.

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap - May 8, 2018

1. Nuclear issues continued to captivate global audiences, the impending recertification of the Iran Deal chiefly among them. Predata's signal measuring Iranian interest in their n...

Read more

SecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle East

A Brand Macron Bump for the Iran Deal?

Emmanuel Macron's much-publicized state visit and presidential glad-handing appear to have energized support for the JCPOA online.

Macron and Trump

Armed with a heavy-handed dose of transatlantic bonhomie, Emmanuel Macron travelled to Washington last week for a state visit, ready to press President Trump to change tack on the ...

Read more

MarketsSecurityEuropeMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: North Korea, ECB, & Iran Nuclear Deal

The continued North Korean Crisis and European Central Bank topics dominated conversation over the past week, while the Iran Nuclear Deal is generating more attention.


Though President Trump's tweet about nuclear button size turned the world's attention toward the North Korea Crisis last week, our signals revealed the possibility of increased Sou...

Read more

PoliticsMarketsMiddle East

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Lebanon, Bahrain

With Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ramping up the regional power struggle with Iran, the Lebanese economy is walking a tightrope. And recent anomalies in Predata signals suggest traders are keeping a close eye on the possibility of a currency devaluation in Bahrain.


Lebanon is a developing economy. And yet for each of the last four years, its GDP has grown by less than 2%. Though desperate to alleviate one of the world's worst debt-to-GDP rati...

Read more

SecurityLatin AmericaMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: North Korea, Venezuela, Greece

This week, the internet turned its attention to China's diplomatic move in North Korea, a default in Venezuela, a debt swap in Greece, and rising tensions in the Saudi-Iran regional cold war.


1. This week, online interest in the North Korea Crisis surged. On Wednesday China sent a high-level official to Pyongyang for the first time in two years. Subsequently, our index ...

Read more

MarketsMiddle East

Getting Ahead of Commodity Price Moves

Social media information related to major geopolitical events can inform trading strategies for aluminum, platinum, oil and more.


Geopolitical risk can have an outsize impact on commodities. Predata tracks millions of relevant social media data points to glean insights into potential market-mov...

Read more