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Global Macro Scoreboard: Venezuela, North Korea, Italy

1-14-18-scoreboard

With online audiences returning from the winter holidays last week, interest in several global macro issues increased, notably the Venezuelan Crisis, North Korea, Italian Financial Risk, Oil Markets, and NAFTA.

1. Online attention to crisis-stricken Venezuela rose this week, as government and opposition leaders met in the Dominican Republic. The talks failed to produce an agreement, but n...

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MarketsSecurityEuropeMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: North Korea, ECB, & Iran Nuclear Deal

The continued North Korean Crisis and European Central Bank topics dominated conversation over the past week, while the Iran Nuclear Deal is generating more attention.

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Though President Trump's tweet about nuclear button size turned the world's attention toward the North Korea Crisis last week, our signals revealed the possibility of increased Sou...

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MarketsPoliticsMiddle East

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Lebanon, Bahrain

With Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ramping up the regional power struggle with Iran, the Lebanese economy is walking a tightrope. And recent anomalies in Predata signals suggest traders are keeping a close eye on the possibility of a currency devaluation in Bahrain.

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Lebanon is a developing economy. And yet for each of the last four years, its GDP has grown by less than 2%. Though desperate to alleviate one of the world's worst debt-to-GDP rati...

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SecurityLatin AmericaMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: North Korea, Venezuela, Greece

This week, the internet turned its attention to China's diplomatic move in North Korea, a default in Venezuela, a debt swap in Greece, and rising tensions in the Saudi-Iran regional cold war.

11-20-17

1. This week, online interest in the North Korea Crisis surged. On Wednesday China sent a high-level official to Pyongyang for the first time in two years. Subsequently, our index ...

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MarketsMiddle East

Getting Ahead of Commodity Price Moves

Social media information related to major geopolitical events can inform trading strategies for aluminum, platinum, oil and more.

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Geopolitical risk can have an outsize impact on commodities. Predata tracks millions of relevant social media data points to glean insights into potential market-mov...

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MarketsPoliticsSecurityU.S. and CanadaMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Iran-Saudi Rivalry, Bitcoin, Oil Markets

Global online audiences were drawn to the Iran-Saudi Rivalry, as the Kingdom targets Hezbollah; Bitcoin, which had a roller-coaster week; Oil Markets, affected by uncertainty in Saudi Arabia and Venezuela; the Qatar Blockade, as another Tehran-Riyadh flashpoint; and the North Korea Crisis, which has devolved to name-calling.

saudi

1.) The Iran-Saudi Rivalry accounted for the greatest share of increased online attention this week. After apparently coercing the resignation of Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Harir...

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PoliticsSecurityMiddle East

Hot Signals: Saudi Arabia; Israel

In Saudi Arabia, our signals detected anomalous attention to key figures in advance of their arrest in yesterday's sudden purge. And our predictive models indicate the risk of a terrorist incident in Israel is high.

saudi

SAUDI ARABIA | Yesterday, Saudi Arabia announced the arrest of dozens of prominent figures, including state ministers, wealthy businessmen, and royal princes. The government cited ...

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SecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Russia Election Meddling

Ahead of the first indictment in the Special Counsel's Russia Election Meddling investigation, Predata's signals correctly pointed to Paul Manafort as the target ahead of the reveal.

new-scoreboard

The Russia Investigation: Mueller's First MoveThis week, the issue of Russian Election Meddling registered the greatest positive leap in online attention. The upswing was driven by...

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MarketsU.S. and CanadaMiddle EastAsia

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Oil

Many commentators believe oil will remain at $50-$60 into 2018. Yet, variables abound. Our signals suggest a big move in the price of WTI and Brent this month.

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A rise in our WTI and Brent signals suggest a big move in oil markets within the next month....

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SecurityU.S. and CanadaMiddle East

Will Trump Ditch the Iran Nuclear Deal?

Supporters of the JCPOA are gaining digital momentum.

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After calling the nuclear deal an “embarrassment” in his speech to the UN General Assembly last month, the president said he would announce in October whether the United States wou...

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SecurityMiddle East

After Hajj, Iran-Saudi Rivalry Back On

Despite a successful Hajj that some hoped could trigger a rapprochement, regional animosity appears to have resumed.

Iran-Saudi

Some have speculated the successful participation of Iranian pilgrims in this year’s Hajj could mark the start of a rapprochement between the two regional enemies. In early Septemb...

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