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The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsSecurityMiddle East

In Iran, a Tactical Resignation

The foreign minister's move appears to have strengthened President Rouhani and his allies versus the hardliners.

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Last week, long-serving Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif suddenly announced his resignation via Instagram. A chief proponent of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action ...

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SecurityMiddle East

Are Israel and Iran Slouching Toward War?

Online activity points to rising concern about a parallel conflict in Syria with regional implications.

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Last week, the Israeli military continued its campaign against Iranian forces in Syria, as it reportedly conducted strikes against Iranian targets in Damascus. Some analysts warn t...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

MarketsSecurityMiddle East

The Khashoggi Fallout

Digital scrutiny of Saudi economy and reform agenda remains high after killing of dissident journalist.

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For nearly three weeks, the killing of Saudi dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi has dominated the news cycle and produced a powerful and persistent international backlash. Predat...

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SecurityMiddle East

The Republic Set To Strike Back

Renewed sanctions threat, terrorist attack likely to produce military reaction from Tehran.

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Today, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani addresses the UN General Assembly amid an increasingly perilous atmosphere. Since withdrawing from the nuclear deal, the United States has r...

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SecurityMiddle East

The Gulf Widens

Ongoing protests in Iran and rising regional security tensions point to a fraught near-term situation in the Persian Gulf.

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After protests over desperate economic conditions flared in Iran over the last two weeks, a Predata anticipatory signal suggests unrest is likely to continue. As the chart below sh...

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SecurityMiddle East

Bagram Security Threat

Our predictive signal suggests risk of an attack on or near Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan is elevated through the middle of July.

Bagram AB

A signal anticipating major security incidents around Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan hit its highest level in over nine months on June 22nd. This spike indicates the risk of an att...

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SecurityMiddle East

Jerusalem Terror Risk Rising

In the wake of the US embassy relocation, likelihood of terrorism remains high.

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The fallout from the US Embassy opening in Jerusalem on May 14 has rocked the Gaza Strip. Just yesterday, Hamas and IDF forces exchanged cross-border rocket and mortar fire, marki...

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SecurityMiddle East

Israel-Iran Tensions Rising

Israeli digital concern, predictive signals point to heightened risk of escalation.

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Two days after President Trump announced the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal, conflict between Israel and Iran flared. Iranian Revolutionary Guards in Syria fired rocket...

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MarketsSecurityEuropeMiddle East

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: May 8, 2018

Nuclear issues once again dominated global audiences' attention, though Italian politics is resurgent amidst government uncertainty.

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap - May 8, 2018

1. Nuclear issues continued to captivate global audiences, the impending recertification of the Iran Deal chiefly among them. Predata's signal measuring Iranian interest in their n...

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