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Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: July 16, 2018

efdsad

The US Special Counsel's latest indictment and the Trump-Putin meeting drove global interest in Russian electoral interference this week.

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SecurityMiddle East

Bagram Security Threat

Our predictive signal suggests risk of an attack on or near Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan is elevated through the middle of July.

Bagram AB

A signal anticipating major security incidents around Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan hit its highest level in over nine months on June 22nd. This spike indicates the risk of an att...

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SecurityMiddle East

Jerusalem Terror Risk Rising

In the wake of the US embassy relocation, likelihood of terrorism remains high.

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The fallout from the US Embassy opening in Jerusalem on May 14 has rocked the Gaza Strip. Just yesterday, Hamas and IDF forces exchanged cross-border rocket and mortar fire, marki...

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SecurityMiddle East

Israel-Iran Tensions Rising

Israeli digital concern, predictive signals point to heightened risk of escalation.

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Two days after President Trump announced the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal, conflict between Israel and Iran flared. Iranian Revolutionary Guards in Syria fired rocket...

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MarketsSecurityEuropeMiddle East

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: May 8, 2018

Nuclear issues once again dominated global audiences' attention, though Italian politics is resurgent amidst government uncertainty.

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap - May 8, 2018

1. Nuclear issues continued to captivate global audiences, the impending recertification of the Iran Deal chiefly among them. Predata's signal measuring Iranian interest in their n...

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SecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle East

A Brand Macron Bump for the Iran Deal?

Emmanuel Macron's much-publicized state visit and presidential glad-handing appear to have energized support for the JCPOA online.

Macron and Trump

Armed with a heavy-handed dose of transatlantic bonhomie, Emmanuel Macron travelled to Washington last week for a state visit, ready to press President Trump to change tack on the ...

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MarketsSecurityEuropeMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: North Korea, ECB, & Iran Nuclear Deal

The continued North Korean Crisis and European Central Bank topics dominated conversation over the past week, while the Iran Nuclear Deal is generating more attention.

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Though President Trump's tweet about nuclear button size turned the world's attention toward the North Korea Crisis last week, our signals revealed the possibility of increased Sou...

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PoliticsMarketsMiddle East

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Lebanon, Bahrain

With Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ramping up the regional power struggle with Iran, the Lebanese economy is walking a tightrope. And recent anomalies in Predata signals suggest traders are keeping a close eye on the possibility of a currency devaluation in Bahrain.

fwdguid-11-28-17

Lebanon is a developing economy. And yet for each of the last four years, its GDP has grown by less than 2%. Though desperate to alleviate one of the world's worst debt-to-GDP rati...

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SecurityLatin AmericaMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: North Korea, Venezuela, Greece

This week, the internet turned its attention to China's diplomatic move in North Korea, a default in Venezuela, a debt swap in Greece, and rising tensions in the Saudi-Iran regional cold war.

11-20-17

1. This week, online interest in the North Korea Crisis surged. On Wednesday China sent a high-level official to Pyongyang for the first time in two years. Subsequently, our index ...

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MarketsMiddle East

Getting Ahead of Commodity Price Moves

Social media information related to major geopolitical events can inform trading strategies for aluminum, platinum, oil and more.

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Geopolitical risk can have an outsize impact on commodities. Predata tracks millions of relevant social media data points to glean insights into potential market-mov...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Iran-Saudi Rivalry, Bitcoin, Oil Markets

Global online audiences were drawn to the Iran-Saudi Rivalry, as the Kingdom targets Hezbollah; Bitcoin, which had a roller-coaster week; Oil Markets, affected by uncertainty in Saudi Arabia and Venezuela; the Qatar Blockade, as another Tehran-Riyadh flashpoint; and the North Korea Crisis, which has devolved to name-calling.

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1.) The Iran-Saudi Rivalry accounted for the greatest share of increased online attention this week. After apparently coercing the resignation of Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Harir...

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