Latest from Research

Showing: Monetary Policy
PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

PoliticsMarketsAsiaU.S. and Canada

The Trade War Drives Downturn Fear

Online attention to past protectionism, capital flight havens points to growing concern.

acdcaeead

Last weekend was a roller coaster in the US-China trade war. On Friday, after Beijing announced retaliatory tariffs on US exports, President Trump issued a tweet storm announcing e...

Read more

MarketsAsia

An Uncertain Era

Amid the coronation of a new emperor, fears about the future of the Japanese economy are surfacing

aceaceaecae

Today, Emperor Akihito, who is 85, becomes the first Japanese emperor in two centuries to abdicate. To commemorate the enthronement of his son, Japan will hold a 10-day holiday, co...

Read more

PoliticsMarketsAsia

Chinese Lending Anxiety Rises

Bad loan growth, pressure on deleveraging drives exceptional spike in attention to Chinese banks.

iohkhj

This week, Predata's signal that reflects Chinese concern over financial risk hit its highest level in years. It is hard to say for certain what drove the signal spike, but two dev...

Read more

MarketsSecurityEurope

These Sanctions Bite

Web traffic shows latest U.S. sanctions are hitting home in Russia, driving concerns about economic crisis.

cccZX

On April 6, the United States announced new sanctions against Russian oligarchs and businesses. The measures have wrought economic havoc in Russia. The ruble fell 5 percent against...

Read more

MarketsU.S. and Canada

Who Will Be Deputy Fed Chair?

The internet seems to think San Francisco Fed President John C. Williams is the frontrunner.

1-22-18-4

According to our signals, online audiences consider San Francisco Fed President John C. Williams to be the frontrunner, followed by former PIMCO CEO Mohamed El-Erian. Views of a we...

Read more

MarketsSecurityMiddle EastAsiaEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: North Korea, ECB, & Iran Nuclear Deal

The continued North Korean Crisis and European Central Bank topics dominated conversation over the past week, while the Iran Nuclear Deal is generating more attention.

wk-ahead-1-7-18

Though President Trump's tweet about nuclear button size turned the world's attention toward the North Korea Crisis last week, our signals revealed the possibility of increased Sou...

Read more

PoliticsMarketsU.S. and CanadaLatin America

Global Macro Scoreboard: U.S. Fed, Taxes, & Healthcare

The U.S. Federal Reserve, Tax Reform, and Healthcare topics dominated conversation over the past week, while Bitcoin and Brazilian Politics continue to generate attention.

wkahead-12-17-17

 ...

Read more

PoliticsMarketsU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Federal Reserve

Online audiences are focusing their attention on Jerome Powell and John Taylor. But regardless of who Trump chooses to chair the Fed, our predictive signals point to increased volatility in the DXY and U.S. 10-yr yields.

heatmap-10-24

Predata's signals measuring online interest in the main Fed chair candidates comports with market expectations....

Read more

PoliticsMarketsEurope

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Sweden

Our signals suggest concerns over a slowing housing market could trigger big moves in the krona and Swedish 10-yr yields.

heatmap-sweden

Our Riksbank signals suggest big moves in the krona and Swedish 10-yr yields may occur in the next 30 days....

Read more