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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsMarketsU.S. and CanadaAsia

New Year, Same Complaint

Chinese intellectual property theft and forced technology transfer are salient issues as the trade agreement deadline looms.

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Today, China begins a weeklong holiday to mark the beginning of the Year of the Pig. But trade negotiators will find little time to rest, as less than a month remains until a March...

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PoliticsEurope

Parliament's Vote

As MPs vote on Theresa May's Brexit deal, the stakes are high and expectations of passage low.

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Today, Members of Parliament vote on whether to approve the Brexit deal Prime Minister Theresa May negotiated with the European Union. She appears set to lose the vote. It is uncle...

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PoliticsMarketsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

The Yearly Foreword

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

Read more

PoliticsEurope

Brexit Outlook

Predata's outlook for Brexit for 2019

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

Predata’s Brexit signals monitor the salience of specific issues and the resonance of the messages of different factions in the Brexit negotiations. Here are some takeaways from 20...

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PoliticsLatin America

Car Wash Roars Back

Will Jair Bolsonaro's government take corruption seriously?

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Like every candidate for higher office in Brazil, president-elect Jair Bolsonaro ran on a pledge to crack down on corruption, which voters tell pollsters is the country’s biggest p...

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PoliticsU.S. and CanadaAsia

An Empty Truce

Chinese-language web browsing patterns suggest the Trump-Xi trade war detente will be short-lived.

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Markets breathed a sigh of relief when Donald Trump and Xi Jinping met on the sidelines of the G20 in Buenos Aires and agreed to stop escalating the trade war. But Predata signals ...

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PoliticsU.S. and Canada

A Climate of Hate

Amid acts of violence, signals show convergence of digital interest in certain far-right issues.

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In the past week, expressions of violence from the far-right have sown fear and death in the United States. Predata’s signals monitor which subjects related to the far-right and al...

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PoliticsMarketsAsia

Chinese Lending Anxiety Rises

Bad loan growth, pressure on deleveraging drives exceptional spike in attention to Chinese banks.

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This week, Predata's signal that reflects Chinese concern over financial risk hit its highest level in years. It is hard to say for certain what drove the signal spike, but two dev...

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PoliticsEurope

Are UK Corporates Bearish on Brexit?

Signals suggest UK-based businesses may be preparing for the worst.

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Let's say you are a UK-based business, and Brexit is coming. You have your ear to the ground. You closely track the negotiations, trying to predict whether the divorce will be hard...

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PoliticsMarkets

Global Macro Scoreboard: February 25, 2018

Venezuela's release of a national cryptocurrency, Special Counsel Robert Mueller's indictment of meddling Russians, and rising acrimony between Iran and Saudi Arabia all grabbed a greater share of the internet's attention last week.

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