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The Yearly Foreword

Predictive Analytics for Geopolitical Risk

To start the new year, Predata has examined trends from 2018 to reveal what will be most important to track in 2019.

Concern over the escalating US-China trade war dogged the US economy in 2018. After agreeing to a temporary truce on the sidelines of the G20 on December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi...

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PoliticsU.S. and Canada

Hot Signals: The War on Christmas

This week's geopolitical insight

hotsignals-war-on-christmas

Each holiday season, the War on Christmas flares over several issues: nativity scenes on government property, secular Starbucks cups, and the semantic choices of presidential holid...

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PoliticsMarketsU.S. and CanadaEuropeAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Germany, China, France

Online attention to both German Elections and EU Reform rose, U.S.-China trade concerns resurfaced, Macron's online interest benefits as faith in other Western heads of state falters.

globalmacro-11-27-17

1. German Elections topped the Global Macro Scoreboard this week after coalition talks between Angela Merkel's CDU, the liberal FDP, and the Greens failed. Increased attention to E...

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PoliticsAsia

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Australia

Predata's signals suggest a big move in the Aussie FX and Australian 10-yr yields in the coming weeks.

aus

Salient threads in the digital debate over Australian monetary policy that are driving these signals include:The Reserve Bank of Australia sounded rather dovish in its recent rate ...

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