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MarketsPoliticsEurope

After Week of Turmoil, Can Catalonia Land on Its Feet?

Online conversation activity suggests the crisis may be abating.

dafs

CATALONIA | Images coming out of Catalonia since last Sunday's independence referendum have shocked the world: Spanish police beating Catalans and seizing ballot boxes; tens of tho...

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Markets

How to Find Market Alpha in Geopolitical Risk

Geopolitics have now eclipsed other risk factors

Geopolitics have now eclipsed other risk factors.

From Brexit to Turkish coups to North Korean missile tests, Geopolitics appears to be having a greater impact on how investors are behaving today. In AllianzGI’s RiskMonitor 2017 s...

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MarketsAsia

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Japan

Big moves may be on the horizon for JPY and 10-yr yields

map

A rise in our BOJ signals indicates big moves in the yen and yields may be forthcoming....

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MarketsPoliticsEurope

Catalan Independence Showdown Bodes Ill for Spanish Markets

Equities and fixed income show historical sensitivity to independence movement volatility.

backtest

Global market attention to Catalonia's independence referendum, scheduled for 1 October, has picked up as the Spanish government ramps up its efforts to thwart the vote. Since Janu...

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MarketsSecurityEurope

Expect Up and Down Week for French Equities as "Autumn of Non-Subjugation" Kicks Off

Mounting anti-labor law reform demonstrations set to trigger CAC 40 volatility.

labor law

As we expected, Saturday's demonstration in Paris against Emmanuel Macron's labor reform efforts, lead by Jean-Luc Mélenchon's La France Insoumise (The Non-subjugated France) was l...

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MarketsU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Canada

The loonie and Canadian 10-yr yields may experience big moves in the coming weeks.

xaed

Underlying digital conversations that have preceded past moves in the Canadian dollar and 10-yr yields suggest big moves are in store within the next 1-2 weeks....

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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: EU Can Count On Jean-Claude Juncker

This week's notable macro market attention-grabbers were the EU State of the Union, Catalan independence vote, and U.S. tax reform.

board

EU Can Count on Jean-ClaudeYesterday European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker gave his annual "State of the EU" address, surprising pundits with an ambitious integration a...

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MarketsLatin America

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Brazil

The real could significantly depreciate against the dollar in the next month.

rth

A Predata signal that anticipates big, unexpected depreciations in the real hit a yearly high, strongly suggesting a big upward move in the USD/BRL pair over the next 30 days....

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MarketsPoliticsEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: Manu and Mutti Take On Europe

The German Election led this week's macro market interest ranking, with European reform issues making large gains.

dfads

Merkel in Control After DebateThe German federal election jumped into the top spot on the Scoreboard this week after Angela Merkel and challenger Martin Schulz faced off in a telev...

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MarketsPoliticsAsia

Weekly Asset Heatmap: New Zealand

In a month under the leadership of 37-year-old political phenom Jacinda Ardern, the Labour Party has all but erased the National Party's 20-point lead in the polls. With less than three weeks until election day, our signals point to a big move in the kiwi in the next two weeks.

xadfa

Our signals suggest a big move in the New Zealand dollar in the next two weeks....

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