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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaLatin America

Weekly Asset Heatmap: North America

As NAFTA talks resume this week, our predictive signals indicate big moves may be forthcoming in North American currencies -- particularly, a rising risk the peso could soon depreciate. Coupled with still-elevated concern over protectionism in Canada and Mexico, the signals suggest observers are bearish on the prospects for renegotiation.

adceacd

A rise in our Federal Reserve, Banxico, and BoC signals suggest big moves in North American currencies within the next month....

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MarketsMiddle EastAsiaU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Oil

Many commentators believe oil will remain at $50-$60 into 2018. Yet, variables abound. Our signals suggest a big move in the price of WTI and Brent this month.

uhi

A rise in our WTI and Brent signals suggest a big move in oil markets within the next month....

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MarketsSecurityAsiaU.S. and Canada

Global Macro Scoreboard: Prelude to (Trade) War?

Tension over U.S.-China trade relations is growing, as two Trump cabinet secretaries visited Beijing last week.

dfacd

This week's Scoreboard reflected increased market attention to issues related to the U.S.-China trade relationship, with both Protectionism and U.S.-China Trade War registering maj...

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SecurityMiddle EastU.S. and Canada

Will Trump Ditch the Iran Nuclear Deal?

Supporters of the JCPOA are gaining digital momentum.

cafee

After calling the nuclear deal an “embarrassment” in his speech to the UN General Assembly last month, the president said he would announce in October whether the United States wou...

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MarketsU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Canada

The loonie and Canadian 10-yr yields may experience big moves in the coming weeks.

xaed

Underlying digital conversations that have preceded past moves in the Canadian dollar and 10-yr yields suggest big moves are in store within the next 1-2 weeks....

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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: EU Can Count On Jean-Claude Juncker

This week's notable macro market attention-grabbers were the EU State of the Union, Catalan independence vote, and U.S. tax reform.

board

EU Can Count on Jean-ClaudeYesterday European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker gave his annual "State of the EU" address, surprising pundits with an ambitious integration a...

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MarketsU.S. and Canada

Weekly Asset Heatmap: U.S.

With uncertainty building over Fed succession and the debt ceiling, our signals indicate big moves in the dollar and U.S. yields are forthcoming.

tghy

Our signals suggest big moves in the Dollar Index and U.S. 10-yr yields within the next 1-2 weeks...

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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Xi Hits the Beach

This week, market attention turned toward the upcoming Chinese Communist Party Congress, oil production, and NAFTA renegotiations.

boarded

China's National Congress: Beach PartyOnline interest in the upcoming National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party fell this week, as leaders vanished from public view for a su...

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MarketsPoliticsSecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeAfricaAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Will Trump's Fury Lead to War?

Market concern over the North Korea crisis skyrockets on president's bellicosity; Kenyan election, Chinese debt, and EU reform also draw interest.

ce

Sound and Fury, Signifying...Something?This week, President Trump's off-the-cuff threat to rain “fire and fury and frankly power” on North Korea -- which responded with it's own th...

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MarketsPoliticsU.S. and CanadaLatin AmericaEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: U.S. Debt-Ceiling Anxiety Returns

Predata's Global Macro Scoreboard ranks the week's stories generating the most interest in the digital realm.

scoreboard

To build the Global Macro Scoreboard, we identified 34 issues driving global markets (see the master list at the bottom). We then built a signal for each based on digital traffic (...

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Insights on political affairs and their impact on global markets