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Markets

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: June 11, 2018

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The anniversary of the Qatar blockade and the market-rattling hack of a bitcoin exchanges drove global online interest this week.

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SecurityLatin America

Is Temer's Military Intervention a Political Game?

Predata signals suggest Brazilians are skeptical of President Temer's extraordinary security decree.

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Brazilians are justifiably wary of the military. The Constitution of 1988 put to rest an army dictatorship with a dark record of torture, arbitrary imprisonment, and extrajudicial ...

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PoliticsLatin America

The Unlikely Persistence of Lula and Pension Reform

Despite a corruption sentence, Brazil's leading presidential candidate says he's not done yet. And will this be the month long-anticipated pension reform passes Congress?

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Investors breathed a sigh of relief two weeks ago when an appeals court upheld a corruption conviction against Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, technically barring the former president f...

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MarketsLatin America

Weekly Asset Heatmap: Brazil

The real could significantly depreciate against the dollar in the next month.

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A Predata signal that anticipates big, unexpected depreciations in the real hit a yearly high, strongly suggesting a big upward move in the USD/BRL pair over the next 30 days....

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PoliticsMarketsLatin AmericaEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: Venezuela El Paria

With the U.S. applying sanctions, Venezuela's worsening crisis leads our list of global macro issues in digital interest this week.

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Venezuela took the highest spot on the Scoreboard this week, as fresh U.S. sanctions have brought the country's political and social crisis back to the forefront of global markets....

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PoliticsMarketsU.S. and CanadaLatin AmericaEurope

Global Macro Scoreboard: U.S. Debt-Ceiling Anxiety Returns

Predata's Global Macro Scoreboard ranks the week's stories generating the most interest in the digital realm.

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To build the Global Macro Scoreboard, we identified 34 issues driving global markets (see the master list at the bottom). We then built a signal for each based on digital traffic (...

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PoliticsLatin America

Despite Temer Corruption Indictment, Government Calm and Carrying On

Signals indicate the unpopular president will weather criminal charges and press on with economic reforms in the near-term

A recent lack of notable activity in Predata Government and Economy signals suggests the president and his unpopular economic reform agenda may weather blockbuster corruption charg...

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PoliticsLatin America

Who's Next In Line for Impeachment Once Temer Goes?

As the embattled president's troubles mount, attention has turned to the nomination of a successor.

temer successors 5/28/17

DEVELOPMENTS since we wrote about the possible impeachments of Michel Temer and Donald Trump last week have confirmed that of the two embattled presidents, it's Temer who's at far ...

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PoliticsU.S. and CanadaLatin America

Trump and Temer, the Weak Flesh Presidents

How real are the chances that Donald Trump and Michel Temer, each confronting fresh crises, will face impeachment?

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FROM THE MOMENT he took office, there have been calls for him to leave — either by resignation, impeachment, or some form of divine vaporization. This statement could apply as much...

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