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Markets

Global Macro Scoreboard and Asset Heatmap: June 11, 2018

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The anniversary of the Qatar blockade and the market-rattling hack of a bitcoin exchanges drove global online interest this week.

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SecurityEurope

The Real Russian Terror Threat

Despite a murky car-ramming in Moscow, a predictive signal suggests terrorism risk is rising in St. Petersburg.

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On Saturday, a taxi driver abruptly jumped a crowded Moscow sidewalk and crashed into several pedestrians. Eight were injured, and the man, a citizen of Kyrgyzstan, was taken into ...

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SecurityEurope

Inauguration Number What?

Protests across the country ahead of Putin's inauguration made their mark online in spite of reduced turnout.

Navalny protesting in March 2017

This past weekend, Russian interest in opposition movements and themes matched levels observed around other major protests. Opposition firebrand Alexey Navalny called for a day of ...

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MarketsSecurityEurope

These Sanctions Bite

Web traffic shows latest U.S. sanctions are hitting home in Russia, driving concerns about economic crisis.

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On April 6, the United States announced new sanctions against Russian oligarchs and businesses. The measures have wrought economic havoc in Russia. The ruble fell 5 percent against...

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SecurityEurope

Mall Blaze Sparks Outrage Across Russia

The tragedy in Siberia is driving widespread Russian attention to government corruption.

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For the last month, the escalating diplomatic conflict over the Kremlin's alleged poisoning of former intelligence double agent Sergei Skripal and his daughter in the UK has captiv...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

Russia's Vote of Indifference

Russian internet users show uncharacteristic disinterest amid Sunday's presidential election.

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To the surprise of no one, Russian President Vladimir Putin was elected to a fourth six-year term on Sunday. Viable opposition leaders were barred from running. Voter turnout, whic...

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PoliticsSecurityEurope

Navalny Who? The Russian Opposition Broadens

Russians are paying greater attention to economic and political grievances rather than specific opposition figures.

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Last week, principal Vladimir Putin critic Alexei Navalny led nationwide protests to call for a boycott of the March 18 presidential election. For Putin, the vote is a fait accompl...

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SecurityU.S. and CanadaEuropeMiddle EastAsia

Global Macro Scoreboard: Russia Election Meddling

Ahead of the first indictment in the Special Counsel's Russia Election Meddling investigation, Predata's signals correctly pointed to Paul Manafort as the target ahead of the reveal.

new-scoreboard

The Russia Investigation: Mueller's First MoveThis week, the issue of Russian Election Meddling registered the greatest positive leap in online attention. The upswing was driven by...

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SecurityEurope

Who's Afraid of Big, Bad Zapad?

As Russia gears up for the Zapad 2017 military exercise, some neighbors are showing greater concern than others.

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Zapad 2017, a massive joint Russia-Belarus military exercise, begins Thursday. The exercise will take place in Belarus and Kaliningrad, near the borders of Poland and the Baltic st...

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SecurityEurope

As Zapad Looms, Lithuania Faces Russian Meddling Risk

Signal activity suggests Lithuania could face cyber intrusions or disinformation campaigns.

lithuan

With Zapad 2017, Russia's massive quadrennial military exercise, set to begin in Belarus September 14, a Predata anticipatory signal for Russian civil interference in Lithuania has...

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PoliticsEurope

Will Russian Meddling Affect the Outcome of the German Election?

Predata analysis of Russian and German interest in election-related topics suggests Germans are tuning out the disinformation campaign.

Putin Merkel

A month before German federal elections scheduled for September 24, Predata noted that German interest in the election, as measured by engagement with election-related social and c...

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