Security Risk Rises in Pakistan

After major attacks during the election campaign, the risk of a major incident is rising.


After his party swept into power for the first time in a general election on July 25, cricket star turned likely prime minister Imran Khan faces a daunting list of challenges. Pakistan's economic situation is dire. Growth has slowed, foreign reserves are dwindling, and a balance of payments deficit is widening. 

Terrorism and insecurity also continue to pose a threat. Attacks marred the campaign season, including the second-deadliest attack in the country's history: a suicide bombing at a political rally outside of Quetta that killed as many as 149.

Predata signals show security instability in Pakistan is likely to persist. A signal that indicates the risk of a major security incident in Pakistan within 14 days has continued to increase sharply following the election. Yesterday, it reached its highest level in more than six months. 


There is reason to believe any subsequent violence may target Khan and his party's vested political interests. Unlike other volatile regions of the country, the security risk signal for Khyber Pakhtunkhwa – the only province where Kahn's PTI has a parliamentary majority – has increased over the past few weeks.