As Zapad Looms, Lithuania Faces Russian Meddling Risk

Signal activity suggests Lithuania could face cyber intrusions or disinformation campaigns.


With Zapad 2017, Russia's massive quadrennial military exercise, set to begin in Belarus September 14, a Predata anticipatory signal for Russian civil interference in Lithuania has spiked to its highest level in over a year. This means that during the exercise there is high risk of Russian non-military aggression against the Baltic nation -- such as fake news campaigns, website defacement, or other cyber operations. With NATO battlegroups deployed throughout the Baltic states to keep an eye on Zapad, a disinformation campaign could be aimed at stoking anti-Western sentiment among Lithuania's Russian-speaking population.